Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE)
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
$75.40-4.23%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MSGE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -55.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 9.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 65.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MSGE — litigation filed
Dated 2026-06-08
Regulation FD Disclosure. The National Railroad Passenger Corporation (“Amtrak”) previously selected Penn Transformation Partners, a consortium led by Halmar International and Skanska (collectively, the “Master Developer”) to redevelop New York Penn Station subject to the execution of various binding agreements (the “Developer Agreements”). On June 8, 2026, in connection with the proposed redevelopment of Penn Station, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (the “Company”) announced that,…
Why it matters: More concerts lifted revenue, but concert costs also rose. A widening gap could weaken profit growth.
Worry ifIn a reported quarter, concert expense growth exceeds concert revenue growth year over year.
Less concerning ifConcert revenue grows faster than concert costs, or costs fall while revenue stays steady.
Why it matters: The sector report flags weaker relative returns and says revenue growth is a key trend to track. A drop below its median would add pressure to the backdrop.
Worry ifThe sector's reported revenue growth falls below its own median.
Less concerning ifThe sector's reported revenue growth stays at or above its own median.
Why it matters: The arena must stay open during the work. A final deal would also clarify the planned transfer of the Infosys Theater.
Watch forThe company and master developer sign binding deals to keep the arena open. They also set terms for the Infosys Theater transfer.
Also watch forThe parties end talks, or a signed plan does not protect the arena's full operation during the work.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$118 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $249 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,473 loss on $10,000 · 14.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.