Match Group (MTCH)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put MTCH beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Communication Services is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 2% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 15%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHealthy across the board
MTCH's growth trajectory relies on its ability to improve revenue guidance and execution. Recent financial performance remains strong, but the latest earnings miss raises concerns. The stock trades at 11.7× P/E versus a peer median of 13.4×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than anticipated, indicating potential undervaluation. Specific risks include a 30% probability of missing outlook on the next earnings call. Peer multiples imply a price about 39% above where it trades. Our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. MTCH is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 20 analysts currently covering MTCH (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MTCH in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare MTCH with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTCH Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Interactive Media & Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put MTCH next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Softer outlook may impact revenue guidance for 2026.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $41.86
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $41.86.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

Threatens: Execute share repurchase program to reduce dilution
Share issuance may dilute existing shareholder value.
