Mettler Toledo (MTD)
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Diagnostics & ResearchSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1679.08-2.56%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Diagnostics & ResearchSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MTD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 30.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
MTD — director transition
Dated 2026-08-03
Director — Natalia Shuman: Natalia Shuman was appointed as a new independent director of the Company.
Why it matters: Management guided to about 4% local-currency sales growth in Q3. A lower result would weaken the growth outlook.
Worry ifQ3 sales growth in local currency is below 4%.
Less concerning ifQ3 local-currency sales growth is 4% or higher.
Why it matters: The Q3 forecast sets a clear test for earnings growth. A result below its low end would miss that mark.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EPS is below $12.00.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EPS is $12.00 or higher.
Why it matters: Management raised its 2026 adjusted EPS range after Q2. Falling below the new low end would undo that progress.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is below $47.15.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is at least $47.15 and stays within or above the raised range.
Why it matters: The Q3 EPS range implies 8% to 9% growth. Less growth would miss the stated range and test margin gains.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EPS growth is below 8% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EPS growth is 8% or higher year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$84 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $259 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,190 loss on $10,000 · 31.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Americas sales grew only 1% in Q2, while Asia and Europe grew faster. A decline would add pressure to total growth.
Worry ifAmericas sales in local currency fall from a year ago in Q3.
Less concerning ifAmericas local-currency sales stay flat or grow year over year in Q3.