Vail Resorts (MTN)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
$134.96-0.81%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MTN
Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.
Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.
Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.
Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.
Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.
Management's most recent EPS guidance action.
expected = 0.35*own_median(-1.8) + peer(0.2*0.0) + term(-3.0) → -3.62% (capped ±15.0)
Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.
Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.
How often this industry misses, baseline.
Industry peers that missed in the recent window.
in 29 days
Average absolute move on past earnings days.
Annualized: recent baseline volatility.
Of the last 0 guided quarters.
Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.
Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.
Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On June 8, 2026 , Vail Resorts, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the three and nine months ended April 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 9, 2026 , Vail Resorts, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the three and six months ended January 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On December 10, 2025, Vail Resorts, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the three months ended October 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On September 29, 2025 , Vail Resorts, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the three months and fiscal year ended July 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On June 5, 2025, Vail Resorts, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the three and nine months ended April 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 10, 2025, Vail Resorts, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the three and six months ended January 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On December 9, 2024, Vail Resorts, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the three months ended October 31, 2024. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On September 26, 2024 , Vail Resorts, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the three months and fiscal year ended July 31, 2024. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On June 6, 2024, Vail Resorts, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the three and nine months ended April 30, 2024. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 11, 2024, Vail Resorts, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the three and six months ended January 31, 2024. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.