MicroVision, Inc. (MVIS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.65-0.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MVIS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -23.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 78.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 101.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MVIS — CFO transition
Dated 2026-08-10
CFO — Christine Chambers: The filing primarily announces the external hire of a new CFO to replace an interim officer, which is a standard executive appointment rather than a sudden departure or loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Successful integration would prove MicroVision can enter new markets. This would help future growth.
Supportive ifThere is positive feedback from customers and early sales of MOVIA Air products.
Worry ifNegative feedback from customers or low sales of MOVIA Air products.
Why it matters: This impacts the company's stock listing. It also affects access to funds.
Worry ifNasdaq grants an additional compliance period for the listing transfer.
Less concerning ifNasdaq denies the transfer request. This risks delisting.
Why it matters: Insights from this meeting could clarify MicroVision's plans. It may show how well they are doing.
Watch forManagement shares good news on commercial progress. They also update on strategic plans.
Also watch forManagement does not address key concerns. They may also share bad news on strategy.
Why it matters: A new partnership could boost growth and revenue. It shows the company is expanding its market reach.
Supportive ifA new partnership was announced. It includes a financial commitment.
Worry ifThere is no news about partnerships. There were no failed talks in the next quarter.
Why it matters: What management says about progress can affect how investors feel and stock value.
Watch forThere were good updates about customer deals and partnerships during the session.
Also watch forThere was no progress or negative comments about customer deals during the session.
Why it matters: New partnerships can enhance market position and revenue potential. They are crucial for the company's growth strategy.
Supportive ifA new partnership was announced. It will help grow the product range or market.
Worry ifNo new partnerships were announced. This may show problems in business engagement.
Why it matters: This decision will show if MicroVision can keep its listing and avoid delisting.
Worry ifNasdaq approved the transfer to the Capital Market, so the listing can continue.
Less concerning ifNasdaq denied the transfer application, which may lead to delisting.
Why it matters: This proposal aims to support the stock price and maintain Nasdaq listing. Approval could stabilize investor confidence.
Supportive ifShareholders approve the reverse stock split at the July 10, 2026 meeting.
Worry ifShareholders reject the reverse stock split proposal at the meeting.
Why it matters: Growth above this level shows that the Lidar 2.0 strategy is working.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is over $1.5 million. This shows strong demand for sensors.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $1.5 million. This suggests a slowdown in business.
Why it matters: The offering's success will impact MicroVision's cash position and growth plans. It is crucial for funding operations and future projects.
Supportive ifThe offering is successful. It raises more than $20 million.
Worry ifThe offering fails to close or raises less than $10 million.
Why it matters: Progress in this strategy is important for MicroVision's growth. It shows the company can seize market chances.
Supportive ifManagement reports at least three new customer deals or product launches for Lidar 2.0.
Worry ifNo new customer deals or product launches are reported in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Higher cash burn could signal operational challenges and affect future funding needs. It is critical for financial health.
Worry ifFull-year cash burn reported at or below $60 million.
Less concerning ifFull-year cash burn exceeds $70 million.
Why it matters: The compliance review outcome will affect MicroVision's listing status. It is important for investor trust.
Watch forMicroVision gets the green light to stay on the Nasdaq Capital Market.
Also watch forMicroVision gets a notice of delisting from Nasdaq.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$377 on $10,000 · ±3.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,006 loss on $10,000 · 10.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,231 loss on $10,000 · 92.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.