MicroVision, Inc. (MVIS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$1.14-8.06%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MVIS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -56.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 100.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 156.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 30 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MVIS — CFO transition
Dated 2026-08-10
CFO — Christine Chambers: The filing primarily announces the external hire of a new CFO to replace an interim officer, which is a standard executive appointment rather than a sudden departure or loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Lower cash use would show the cost plan is working. The company reported $28.9 million in cash at September 30, 2026.
Supportive ifFull-year 2027 cash used in operations is $40 million or less.
Worry ifFull-year 2027 cash used in operations is above $40 million.
Why it matters: This tests whether new programs and orders can grow into larger sales. Management has tied its growth plan to this goal.
Supportive if2027 revenue is at least twice full-year 2026 revenue.
Worry if2027 revenue is less than twice full-year 2026 revenue.
Why it matters: Repeat orders would show that early demand can last beyond the current backlog. That matters while revenue remains small.
Supportive ifA company update names repeat IRIS or MOVIA Pro orders. It also counts new orders after current backlog ships.
Worry ifA company update reports no new orders after the backlog ships. It may also report slower shipping schedules.
Why it matters: Management kept its $10 million to $15 million revenue range. Reaching $10 million would show that orders are turning into sales.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 revenue is at least $10 million.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 revenue is below $10 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$364 on $10,000 · ±3.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,006 loss on $10,000 · 10.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,302 loss on $10,000 · 93.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.