MYR Group, Inc. (MYRG)
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$263.89-9.50%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MYRG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -12.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 18.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MYRG — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-09-10
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. On September 8, 2026, MYR Group Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a five-year Fourth Amended And Restated Credit Agreement (the “Credit Agreement”) with a syndicate of banks led by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., Bank of America, N.A. and Wells Fargo Bank, National Association. The Credit Agreement provides for a revolving credit facility of $690 million (the “Revolving Facility”) and…
Why it matters: C&I backlog reached $2.39 billion. Management cited demand in data centers, transportation, and manufacturing. A drop could make future workload less clear.
Watch forC&I backlog stays above $2 billion at the next reported quarter-end.
Also watch forC&I backlog falls below $1.89 billion, its June 2026 level.
Why it matters: Backlog rose 38.2% in Q3. Continued growth would support the company’s stated growth focus.
Supportive ifQ4 backlog is above $3.63 billion, up more than 38% from $2.63 billion a year earlier.
Worry ifQ4 backlog is flat or lower year over year.
Why it matters: Recent margins rose with better job output and close-outs. Project inefficiencies partly offset those gains.
Watch forQuarterly gross margin stays at or above 13%. Changes to project estimates add to margin.
Also watch forQuarterly gross margin falls below 12%, or project estimate changes cut the margin.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$185 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $566 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,922 loss on $10,000 · 49.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.