Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-07-07
$86.43+2.32%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $86.43. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $86 the market pays 24× p/e — above the 17× p/e peer median but in line with its own 24× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $61 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Flags: expensive valuation, weak execution quality. Capped at elevated by the Mania regime.
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $81.39 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $78.05 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $18.29 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $41.58 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $44.17 | 2.1 | 21.05 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $47.68 | 13.6 | 3.50 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $60.40 | 16.5 | 3.65 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $49.00 | 3.4 | 14.52 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $98.74 | 27.1 | 3.65 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $28.23 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $86.58 | 23.7 | 3.65 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $61.66 | 16.5 | 3.73 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $67.18 | 2.1 | 32.02 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $63.33 | 13.6 | 4.65 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $54.26 | 16.5 | 3.28 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $27.61 | 3.4 | 8.18 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $88.70 | 27.1 | 3.28 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $77.77 | 23.7 | 3.28 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $88.85 | 2.1 | 42.35 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $76.51 | 13.6 | 5.62 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $37.02 | 16.5 | 2.24 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $18.84 | 3.4 | 5.58 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $60.51 | 27.1 | 2.24 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $53.06 | 23.7 | 2.24 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.