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NDAQ

Nasdaq, Inc.

NASDAQFinancialsFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-05-08

$88.91-0.10%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, NDAQ has a composite score of 3.7 and a signal label of "mixed." The score reflects a medium confidence level of 75.2%. Key drivers include a macro score of -7.7 and a sector score of 14.6, indicating mixed conditions influenced by macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, labor, and inflation. This assessment is provisional.

Composite +3.7as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.11
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
410568586234
F2 · Value
expensive
Most expensive 10% of financials cohort
Why this rank
Price
$88.91
TTM EPS
$2.44
Earnings yield
2.7%
P/E (TTM)
36.4

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
1,117
TTM CFO ($M)
1,939
CFO/NI
1.74
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
stable
Top 10% activity in financials cohort· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral14 analysts, 82% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $0.96 → $0.95 (-1.7% / 30d). 4 raised, 8 cut, 14 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 82% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 29.8% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.

2

Stated priorities

Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −22%, typical day ±1.0%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 27%; 252d 24%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −22%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLF) 0.89 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 60/100, drawdown 57/100, beta 89/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-9.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLF

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite55.9 / 100
Capital allocation37
Earnings discipline96
Margin discipline66
Balance sheet35
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction51
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
12higher = cheaper

Looks more expensive than peers.

Compared to its own history
97higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
24.4x
EV/EBITDA
22.7x
FCF yield
3.9%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fullas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
NDAQ
Nasdaq, Inc.
+3.7fullmoderate
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway
+6.0moderate
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
-0.9fulllow
V
Visa Inc.
+20low
MA
Mastercard
+15fulllow
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.0%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.5%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-21.8%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)+6.6 pts
  • If financials sector trend rises from +0.07 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)-8.0 pts
  • If financials sector trend falls from +0.07 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-2316d agoItem 2.02

    and Item 7.01, respectively. Such information, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any of Nasdaq’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on it…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 46
  2. 2026-04-2316d agoItem 8.01

    Other Events. On April 23, 2026, Nasdaq issued a press release announcing the declaration of a quarterly cash dividend. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.2 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.

    capital allocationneutralscore 36
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-12 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.