NextEra Energy (NEE)
NYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-07-07
$88.45+1.16%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $88.45. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $88 NEE trades at 2.8× p/b, in line with its 2.3× p/b peer median — but our blended $80 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $90–$117. Note: our $80 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($90–$117). Not investment advice.
$90.00 – $117.00 (median $107.00) · 13 analysts · as of 2026-07-07
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 118% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 5.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.95/sh owner earnings.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $107.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $27.41 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $51.42 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $97.01 | 24.4 | 3.97 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $74.12 | 2.3 | 31.84 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $87.45 | 77.4 | 1.13 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $90.17 | 24.4 | 3.69 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $38.03 | 3.1 | 12.38 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $154.98 | 42.0 | 3.69 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $35.05 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $86.18 | 23.4 | 3.69 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $92.61 | 24.4 | 3.79 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $138.56 | 24.4 | 5.67 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $94.75 | 2.3 | 40.71 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $134.17 | 24.4 | 5.49 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $63.30 | 3.1 | 20.60 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $230.60 | 42.0 | 5.49 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $128.23 | 23.4 | 5.49 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $175.73 | 24.4 | 7.19 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $111.60 | 2.3 | 47.95 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $177.44 | 24.4 | 7.26 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $83.71 | 3.1 | 27.25 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $304.97 | 42.0 | 7.26 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $169.59 | 23.4 | 7.26 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.