NextEra Energy (NEE)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
$88.45+4.89%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NEE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 7.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 20.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NEE — divestiture
Dated 2026-11-05
of a Current Report on Form 8-K. The purpose of this Current Report on Form 8-K is to file the Financial Information (as defined below), and to allow such Financial Information to be incorporated by reference into NEE's registration statements previously filed with the SEC under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the Securities Act). Forward-Looking Statements This Current Report on Form 8-K includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Pri…
Why it matters: North Carolina review is another open state step for the merger. A new delay or rejection could put the planned close at risk.
Worry ifExpert witness hearings start as scheduled in February 2027. The commission keeps its review active.
Less concerning ifThe commission delays the hearings past February 2027 or denies the merger.
Why it matters: The restart would add round-the-clock power. A missed date would delay that planned supply and the benefit of the federal loan.
Watch forNextEra reports that Duane Arnold is back in service by March 31, 2029.
Also watch forNextEra reports a restart delay beyond March 31, 2029, or cancels the restart plan.
Why it matters: Management targets the high end of its $3.92 to $4.02 range. A result near $4.02 would support its longer-term growth goal.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is at least $4.00.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is below $3.92.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$75 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $204 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,287 loss on $10,000 · 22.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.