Ingevity, Corp. (NGVT)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$73.73+0.14%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NGVT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 20.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NGVT — credit agreement
Dated 2026-03-30
ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT On March 26, 2026 (the “ Closing Date ”), Ingevity Corporation (the “ Company ”), Ingevity Holdings SRL (“ Holdings ”), Ingevity UK Ltd (the “ UK Borrower ”), the other loan parties party thereto, the lenders party thereto, the issuing banks party thereto and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as administrative agent (the “ Administrative Agent ”), collateral agent and swingline lender, entered into that certain Second Amendment and Restatement Agreement (th…
Why it matters: Management aims to keep leverage within 2.0x to 2.5x. Lower debt would show that cash flow is supporting that goal.
Watch forQ3 net leverage is 2.5x or lower, in line with the stated 2.0x to 2.5x target.
Also watch forQ3 net leverage rises above 2.5x.
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted EPS rose to $1.74 from $1.22 a year ago. The new full-year range starts at $5.00.
Watch forQ3 results keep the 2026 adjusted EPS range at $5.00 or higher, with year-to-date results on pace to reach $5.00.
Also watch forManagement lowers the 2026 adjusted EPS range below $5.00, or Q3 results leave the company off pace for that floor.
Why it matters: In Q2, adjusted EBITDA rose 14% to $115 million, and management raised its full-year range. Q3 results will test whether that pace holds.
Watch forQ3 results keep the 2026 adjusted EBITDA range at $380 million or higher. Year-to-date results remain on pace to reach $380 million.
Also watch forManagement cuts the 2026 adjusted EBITDA range below $380 million. Or, Q3 results show the company is off pace to reach $380 million.
Why it matters: The sector data says materials revenue has been shrinking, though recent signals point to a possible change. Positive growth would confirm that shift.
Supportive ifThe materials sector's reported 3-year revenue growth turns above 0%.
Worry ifThe materials sector's reported 3-year revenue growth stays below 0%.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$101 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $298 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,691 loss on $10,000 · 16.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 sales fell 5% overall because Road Markings was sold, but rose 5% without it. Q3 sales will test the full-year range.
Watch forManagement keeps the $1.05 billion to $1.15 billion sales range. Year-to-date sales remain on pace for at least $1.05 billion.
Also watch forManagement lowers the 2026 sales range below $1.05 billion, or results leave the company off pace for that floor.