National Health Investors, Inc. (NHI)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$71.58+0.41%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NHI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 6.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -31.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 38.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers
NHI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-10
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 10, 2026 , National Health Investors, Inc. issued a press release announcing its earnings for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is filed as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference herein.
Why it matters: NHI has signed letters of intent for deals with an average starting yield of 6.8%. Closing them would show that its growth plans are moving ahead.
Supportive ifNHI reports closing most of the $127.3 million in signed deals, mainly in SHOP.
Worry ifNHI reports that most of the $127.3 million in signed deals did not close.
Why it matters: NHI raised its dividend per share to $0.94 in Q2. A cut would break that recent pattern and put cash returns in focus.
Worry ifNHI keeps the quarterly dividend at or above $0.94 per share.
Less concerning ifNHI announces a quarterly dividend below $0.94 per share.
Why it matters: Same-store SHOP results were ahead of expectations in Q2, but they fell 2.4% in Q1. A recovery would show stronger results beyond new purchases.
Supportive ifIn the November 9 results, same-store SHOP income rises year over year and is above Q1's 2.4% decline.
Worry ifIn the November 9 results, same-store SHOP income falls year over year again.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$83 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $222 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,893 loss on $10,000 · 28.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.