NATURAL HEALTH TRENDS CORP (NHTC)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.83-6.64%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NHTC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -74.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -14.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 59.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NHTC — officer change
Dated 2026-05-07
Director: Annual board election at the company's annual meeting.
Why it matters: Cash used in operations was $3.3 million in the first nine months. A higher pace could add pressure as sales remain weak.
Worry ifThe next report shows operating cash use above $3.3 million for the first nine months of the year.
Less concerning ifThe next report shows operating cash use at or below $3.3 million for the first nine months of the year.
Why it matters: Active Members rose from 26,000 to 27,040 in Q3. Another rise would show member activity is holding up.
Supportive ifThe next reported Active Member count is above 27,040.
Worry ifThe next reported Active Member count is 27,040 or lower.
Why it matters: Q3 revenue was flat from Q2 but down 20% from a year ago. A rise would show sales are gaining ground.
Supportive ifThe next quarterly report shows revenue above $7.6 million and a smaller year-on-year drop than Q3's 20%.
Worry ifThe next quarterly report shows revenue below $7.6 million or a year-on-year drop of 20% or more.
Why it matters: The board left $15.8 million available, but Q3 purchases totaled only $27,000. New purchases show whether the program is active.
Watch forA later filing reports more than $27,000 in share purchases for a quarter.
Also watch forA later filing reports no share purchases for a full quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$249 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $831 loss on $10,000 · 8.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,054 loss on $10,000 · 80.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.