Newsmax, Inc. (NMAX)
NYSECommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.63-2.12%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NMAX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 486.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 474.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name its industry peers have been missing lately and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NMAX — officer change
Dated 2026-03-23
Director and member of the Audit Committee — David Evans: David Evans was appointed as a director and to the Audit Committee.
Why it matters: When a company earns more than expected, it can boost investor trust. This can help the stock do better.
Supportive ifThe latest earnings report shows results that are better than expected.
Worry ifThe earnings report shows results that are worse than expected.
Why it matters: Q2 results will show if the company can stop losing money during sector challenges.
Watch forNewsmax says losses are down or the company is getting closer to making money in Q2.
Also watch forNewsmax's losses widen in Q2 compared to previous quarters.
Why it matters: Another earnings beat would show strong performance and market trust.
Supportive ifEarnings were better than analysts expected. This shows strong business growth.
Worry ifEarnings were worse than analysts expected. This may point to problems.
Why it matters: New priorities could indicate a shift in how Newsmax plans to address its current challenges.
Watch forManagement shares a new plan to make more money.
Also watch forManagement has not shared any changes to their plans.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$276 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $575 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,123 loss on $10,000 · 61.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Confirming the full-year revenue guidance shows the company is on track for growth. This is key for investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue is over $53.5 million. This shows progress towards the full-year target of $212 million to $216 million.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is below $50 million. This means the company may not meet its full-year guidance.
Why it matters: A drop in audience reach may mean fewer viewers are engaged. This could hurt advertising revenue.
Worry ifAudience reach drops below 26 million total viewers.
Less concerning ifAudience reach remains above 27 million total viewers.
Why it matters: Hitting or beating the revenue growth target shows strong business momentum. It backs management's plans.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth is over 13% year-over-year. This confirms management's plans.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is under 13% year-over-year. This shows possible problems in execution.
Why it matters: Positive operating income means better financial health and good cost control. It shows a strong future.
Supportive ifOperating income remains positive in Q3. This shows that improvements are still happening.
Worry ifOperating income turns negative in Q3. This suggests problems in cost management.
Why it matters: More audience reach shows a strong content strategy and growing brand strength. It helps revenue growth.
Supportive ifAudience reach exceeds 30 million total viewers in Q3, confirming growth in viewership.
Worry ifAudience reach drops below 26 million in Q3. This shows possible challenges in attracting viewers.