NEXTTRIP INC (NTRP)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$1.08-9.24%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NTRP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 34.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NTRP — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-15
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On October 15, 2026, NextTrip, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRP) issued a press release announcing financial results and providing a business update for its fiscal second quarter and six months ended August 31, 2026. Second-quarter revenue was approximately $0.5 million, compared with $757,648 in the prior-year quarter, a decrease of approximately 28%. Revenue for the six-month period increased approximately 122% to approximately $2.0 million, compared with app…
Why it matters: Second-quarter revenue fell even as six-month revenue more than doubled. A recovery would show that new launches are adding sales.
Watch forFiscal Q3 revenue is above $757,648, the prior-year quarter figure cited in the release.
Also watch forFiscal Q3 revenue is below $757,648 year over year, extending the reported decline.
Why it matters: The first event is a test of the planned creator and live-event business. Bookings, sponsor sales, or event revenue would show early demand.
Supportive ifNextTrip confirms the first concert took place in November. It reports event revenue, sponsor sales, or travel bookings.
Worry ifThe concert is postponed or canceled. The update reports no event revenue, sponsors, or travel bookings.
Why it matters: Cash repayment would support management's plan to limit share dilution. New share sales or note conversions would point the other way.
Watch forA filing confirms cash repayment of the Lind note or other convertible debt. No shares were issued through conversion.
Also watch forA filing says a note became shares or shares were sold under the $6.5 million ATM agreement.
Why it matters: Samsung ad gains are a clear test of media sales progress. The nearly twofold full-year growth figure is still a projection.
Supportive ifA year-end update reports Samsung U.S. programmatic ad revenue for calendar 2026 at least equal to calendar 2025.
Worry ifA year-end update reports Samsung U.S. programmatic ad revenue below calendar 2025.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$323 on $10,000 · ±3.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $952 loss on $10,000 · 9.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,652 loss on $10,000 · 76.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Management plans an initial rollout after product changes. Advisor sign-ups and bookings would show whether the launch is gaining traction.
Supportive ifA company update says NextTrip Pro is live. It lists advisor sign-ups or booking figures.
Worry ifThe next update reports a launch delay or no advisor sign-ups.
Why it matters: The pipeline is not signed revenue. Closed campaigns would show buyers are paying for the audience and ad space.
Supportive ifNextTrip reports signed direct ad, sponsorship, or partnership deals from the stated pipeline. It gives their contract value.
Worry ifA later update reports no signed deals from the pipeline, or says the pipeline has shrunk.