NEXTTRIP INC (NTRP)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.41+0.71%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NTRP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 79.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers
NTRP — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-31
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On August 31, 2026, NextTrip, Inc. (the “Company”), entered into an at-the-market offering agreement (the “Offering Agreement”) with Titan Partners Securities LLC, as agent (“Titan”), pursuant to which the Company may offer and sell, from time to time through Titan shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.001 per share (the “Common Stock”), having an aggregate offering price of up to $6,500,000 (the “Shares”). The offer and sale of the Shar…
Why it matters: More revenue from JOURNY TV could show success in media and advertising.
Supportive ifRevenue from JOURNY TV increases by more than 20% in the next quarter.
Worry ifRevenue from JOURNY TV remains flat or declines in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Growing revenue shows success in building international partnerships. This helps the growth plan.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue exceeds $1.2 million, showing growth from Q2.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $1.2 million, indicating growth may be stalling.
Why it matters: If NextTrip Pro books many trips, it shows the platform works well and can grow.
Supportive ifNextTrip Pro makes over $1 million in travel bookings in the first quarter after launch.
Worry ifNextTrip Pro does not make many bookings, with less than $500,000 in travel sales.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows management's plan is working. It can help future values.
Supportive ifNextTrip reports Q3 revenue growth over 50% compared to last year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is under 20% from last year. This shows slower progress.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$263 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $815 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,526 loss on $10,000 · 75.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Reaching this goal shows that the company is growing internationally. It also helps with ads.
Supportive ifNextTrip says JOURNY TV has over 250 million viewers in 80 countries.
Worry ifAudience reach is still below 250 million. This shows slower growth in international markets.
Why it matters: New partnerships could expand NextTrip's market and boost revenue. This is a key growth priority.
Supportive ifLook for at least one new international partnership in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo new partnerships announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: The launch of NextTrip Pro is key for expanding travel advisor distribution and bookings. It could drive revenue growth.
Supportive ifNextTrip Pro is launched and shows increased bookings from travel advisors within the first quarter.
Worry ifNextTrip Pro launch does not get much advisor participation or bookings.
Why it matters: Better operating income means the company is controlling costs. This could lead to profit.
Supportive ifOperating income improves to less than -$2.91 million in Q3.
Worry ifOperating income gets worse, staying below -$2.91 million.
Why it matters: Better operating income is key for NextTrip's finances. It shows they manage costs well.
Supportive ifOperating income turns positive or gets better from -$5.44M.
Worry ifOperating income stays negative or gets worse than -$5.44M.
Why it matters: Paying off debt would make the company stronger and help keep shares valuable.
Supportive ifNextTrip pays back at least $2 million of its convertible debt in the next six months.
Worry ifNextTrip does not pay any convertible debt, raising worries about share value.
Why it matters: This financing is crucial for NextTrip's growth and could strengthen its capital structure.
Supportive ifNextTrip uses the $4.6 million financing to support growth and pay off debts.
Worry ifNextTrip has trouble using the financing or does not pay off its debts.
Why it matters: Meeting this goal shows strong growth in ads. It can increase revenue.
Supportive ifNextTrip says its monthly ad inventory hits or goes over 50 million impressions.
Worry ifAd inventory stays below 10 million monthly impressions. This shows weak growth.
Why it matters: Growing internationally can help NextTrip's business. Progress shows they are doing well.
Supportive ifA new partnership is announced in a foreign market.
Worry ifNo new partnerships announced within the next quarter.
Why it matters: The YADA acquisition aims to enhance NextTrip's creator commerce capabilities. Success could lead to new revenue streams.
Supportive ifNextTrip says it will see more revenue from creator commerce linked to YADA in six months.
Worry ifNo big revenue growth is seen from YADA-related projects in the same time.
Why it matters: New partnerships could enhance NextTrip's market reach and revenue potential. This aligns with management's growth strategy.
Supportive ifNextTrip announces a new international partnership. This will expand its services or market reach.
Worry ifNo new partnerships are announced. This shows a lack of progress in international growth.
Why it matters: High adoption rates for NextTrip Pro can signal strong growth in travel bookings and revenue.
Supportive ifNextTrip Pro achieves over 1,000 active users within the first three months of launch.
Worry ifNextTrip Pro sees fewer than 500 active users within the first three months of launch.
Why it matters: NextTrip is making more money from ads. This means their media plan is working.
Supportive ifAdvertising revenue goes up by more than 25% each quarter.
Worry ifAdvertising revenue growth is less than 10% quarter over quarter.
Why it matters: A bigger audience on JOURNY TV can lead to more ads and sponsorships.
Supportive ifJOURNY TV surpasses 100,000 subscribers on YouTube within six months.
Worry ifJOURNY TV fails to reach 50,000 subscribers on YouTube within six months.
Why it matters: Good integration can help NextTrip's revenue and improve its creator commerce platform.
Supportive ifYADA Commerce brings in at least $500,000 in revenue in the first quarter.
Worry ifYADA Commerce does not make any revenue in the first quarter after integration.