Nucor (NUE)
NYSEMaterialsSteelSnapshot 2026-09-04
$261.07-0.53%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsSteelSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NUE
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $261 NUE trades at 21× p/e, in line with its 18× p/e peer median, and our $236 fair value agrees. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $258–$297. Note: our $236 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($258–$297). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $278.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $39.24 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $168.75 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $179.79 | 26.0 | 6.93 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$258.00 – $297.00 (median $278.50) · 10 analysts · as of 2026-07-29
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 282% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 34.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $4.14/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $283.76 |
| 15.0 |
| 18.90 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $235.67 | 1.5 | 157.99 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $373.01 | 25.9 | 14.40 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $115.35 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $231.53 | 17.9 | 12.93 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $44.27 | 26.0 | 1.71 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $335.40 | 15.0 | 22.34 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $313.73 | 1.5 | 210.33 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $578.92 | 25.9 | 22.34 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $404.04 | 15.0 | 26.92 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $377.94 | 1.5 | 253.37 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $697.40 | 25.9 | 26.92 | Analyst | medium |