News Corp (Class B) (NWS)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesPublishingSnapshot 2026-11-04
$33.39+4.15%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesPublishingSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NWS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 46.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: News Media adjusted revenue fell 2% in Q3 FY2026, while reported growth came from currency gains. A return to growth would ease that pressure.
Supportive ifThe November 4 report shows News Media adjusted revenue growing year over year.
Worry ifThe November 4 report shows News Media adjusted revenue flat or lower year over year.
Why it matters: Dow Jones had over 6.7 million news subscriptions in Q4, up 7%. More growth would support its digital business.
Supportive ifThe November 4 report shows total Dow Jones news subscriptions above 6.7 million and up year over year.
Worry ifThe November 4 report shows total Dow Jones news subscriptions at or below 6.7 million, or down from a year earlier.
Why it matters: Fiscal 2026 adjusted revenue grew 4%, below reported growth of 7%. Another gain would show growth beyond currency effects.
Supportive ifThe November 4 report shows adjusted revenue above the level from a year earlier.
Worry ifThe November 4 report shows adjusted revenue below the level from a year earlier.
Why it matters: Dow Jones grew revenue 7% and EBITDA 20% in Q4 FY2026. Continued gains would support the growth story.
Supportive ifIn the November 4 results, Dow Jones revenue and EBITDA both grow year over year.
Worry ifIn the November 4 results, either Dow Jones revenue or EBITDA falls year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$124 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $262 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,752 loss on $10,000 · 17.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.