New York Times Company (NYT)
NYSECommunication ServicesPublishingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$67.28+0.33%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesPublishingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NYT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 35.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 26.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: Lower growth in digital ads may mean less demand from marketers or more competition.
Worry ifQ2 digital advertising revenue growth is below 25% from last year.
Less concerning ifQ2 digital advertising revenue growth is above 25% from last year.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows confidence in cash flow and financial health.
Watch forDividend per share remains at $0.23 in Q3.
Also watch forDividend per share increases or decreases from $0.23 in Q3.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how well the company is doing overall. It can impact stock performance.
Watch forQ2 earnings exceed expectations with earnings per share above $0.30.
Also watch forQ2 earnings fall short of expectations with earnings per share below $0.20.
Why it matters: Continued growth in digital subscriptions is key for overall revenue health. It shows demand for content.
Supportive ifDigital-only subscription revenue grows over 16% from last year in Q2.
Worry ifDigital-only subscription revenue growth is under 10% from last year in Q2.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$102 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $264 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,600 loss on $10,000 · 26.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Operating profit margin shows how well the company controls costs and sets prices.
Watch forOperating profit margin is over 12.7% in Q2.
Also watch forOperating profit margin drops below 12.0% in Q2.
Why it matters: An increase shows good spending and trust in future profits. It shows management cares about giving value to shareholders.
Supportive ifDividend per share increases from $0.23.
Worry ifDividend per share remains at $0.23 or decreases.