New York Times Company (NYT)
NYSECommunication ServicesPublishingSnapshot 2026-11-05
$65.57-1.40%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesPublishingSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NYT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 25.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NYT — officer change
Dated 2026-09-09
Chief Human Resources Officer — Jacqueline Welch: The Chief Human Resources Officer is stepping down with a planned effective date and severance, representing a standard executive departure rather than a sudden shock or routine board election.
Why it matters: Digital ads grew 20.7% in Q2 on strong demand and more ad space. The sector has been a recent headwind, so a slowdown matters.
Watch forQ3 digital ad revenue growth is above 20.7% year over year.
Also watch forQ3 digital ad revenue growth is below 20.7% year over year.
Why it matters: Management set a $35 million to $45 million capital spending range for 2026. Spending above that range could reduce cash available for other uses.
Worry ifReported 2026 capital spending exceeds $45 million by year end.
Less concerning ifReported 2026 capital spending is within the $35 million to $45 million range.
Why it matters: The company raised its quarterly dividend to $0.23 in late 2025. A new increase would show progress on its stated dividend priority.
Supportive ifThe board declares a quarterly dividend above $0.23 per share.
Worry ifThe board keeps the dividend at $0.23 or cuts it.
Why it matters: Higher prices and fewer promotional deals lifted Q2 ARPU by 3.1% year over year. Slower growth could weigh on digital subscription revenue.
Watch forQ3 digital-only ARPU rises more than 3.1% year over year from the prior-year quarter.
Also watch forQ3 digital-only ARPU growth is below 3.1% year over year.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$102 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $320 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,792 loss on $10,000 · 27.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted costs rose 10.0%, while revenue rose 11.2%. Faster cost growth could squeeze profit growth.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted operating cost growth is higher than revenue growth year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted operating cost growth is at or below revenue growth year over year.