Owens Corning (OC)
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$124.26-2.77%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -25.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 4, 2026, Owens Corning (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. Exhibit 99.1 contains certain financial measures that are considered "non-GAAP financial measures" as defined in the federal securities laws and contains an explanation and, as applicable, a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures calcul…
Why it matters: Management expects Q3 sales to be slightly below last year. Sales above the range would point to stronger demand or sales execution.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is above $2.7 billion.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $2.6 billion.
Why it matters: The company reported $135 million in run-rate synergies, above its $125 million goal. It is also working on $75 million more in cost cuts.
Supportive ifThe company reports all $75 million in added cost cuts from network and operations work.
Worry ifThe company says it is no longer on track for the $75 million goal, or reports less than $75 million at completion.
Why it matters: Management said high Q2 stocking may lower Q3 distributor purchases. Lower Roofing sales would show this risk in results.
Worry ifQ3 Roofing net sales fall year over year, after Q2 sales rose to $1.313 billion from $1.303 billion.
Less concerning ifQ3 Roofing net sales are flat or higher year over year.
Why it matters: Owens Corning returned $1 billion in 2025 and $264 million in Q2 2026. The year-end figure will show progress toward its two-year target.
Supportive ifCompany reports total dividends and share buybacks of at least $2 billion for 2025 and 2026.
Worry ifCompany reports less than $2 billion returned by the end of 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$162 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $399 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,079 loss on $10,000 · 30.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.