Owens Corning (OC)
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$138.72+2.98%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -4.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OC — divestiture
Dated 2026-05-01
Other Events. As previously disclosed, on February 13, 2025, Owens Corning (the "Company") entered into a definitive agreement (the "Agreement") with Triumph Composites Private Limited (formerly known as Triumph Non-Ionics Pvt Ltd.) and 3B Lux S.à r.l. (together, the "Purchasers"), together with affiliated guarantors, providing for the sale of substantially all of the Company’s global glass reinforcements business (the "Transaction"). The Purchasers are affiliates of the Praana Group. The Agr…
Why it matters: Hitting this goal would help Owens Corning work better and save money.
Supportive ifOwens Corning reports $75 million in cost savings.
Worry ifNo updates on the $75 million cost improvements.
Why it matters: Inflation costs can hurt margins and overall profits in the next quarters.
Worry ifInflation costs were at or below $60 million in Q2.
Less concerning ifInflation costs went over $60 million in Q2.
Why it matters: If revenue falls below this level, it signals ongoing demand challenges in the housing market.
Worry ifQ3 revenue guidance is set below $2.6 billion.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue guidance exceeds $2.6 billion.
Why it matters: Good leadership could improve execution and help the company grow.
Supportive ifWatch for clear changes in operations or plans after Collins takes charge.
Worry ifWatch for no clear changes in operations or plans after Collins took charge.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$162 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $389 loss on $10,000 · 3.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,734 loss on $10,000 · 37.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Updates will show how the company is doing financially. They will focus on shareholders.
Supportive if$1 billion returned to shareholders by end of 2026.
Worry ifBig cut in planned cash returns.
Why it matters: This range indicates whether Owens Corning can stabilize sales after a sharp drop in Q1. Strong revenue signals recovery.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue from continuing operations is $2.6 billion or more.
Worry ifQ2 revenue from continuing operations is less than $2.6 billion.
Why it matters: The money will support growth and affect cash returns to shareholders.
Supportive ifOwens Corning gets about $280 million from the sale.
Worry ifThe sale brings in much less than $280 million.
Why it matters: The new CFO's plans may affect Owens Corning's finances and shareholder value.
Watch forThe new CFO announced plans that could boost shareholder value.
Also watch forNo big changes or bad plans announced by the new CFO.
Why it matters: Selling this business may change Owens Corning's financial health and plans.
Worry ifNews about the sale's completion or major updates on the deal.
Less concerning ifNo news or delays in the sale process may show possible problems.
Why it matters: A margin below this level shows pressure on making money due to market issues.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin for Q3 is below 20%.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA margin for Q3 is reported at or above 20%.
Why it matters: Finishing this return would show a focus on shareholder value and smart spending.
Supportive ifOwens Corning returns a total of $2 billion to shareholders by the end of 2026.
Worry ifTotal returns to shareholders fall short of $2 billion by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: The new CFO's leadership could change how Owens Corning manages its finances. This is important for future growth.
Supportive ifGood financial results are expected in the next earnings release on August 5, 2026.
Worry ifBad financial results are expected in the next earnings release on August 5, 2026.