Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-10-31 · fmp
Optical Cable Corp (OCC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
$8.96-20.07%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.82 → 0.82 EPS · FY ending Oct 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 1, 2026 to Oct 31, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for OCC yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stable management execution on growth priorities | Management is stable and executing on growth priorities. | Intact | management status changes to unstable or priorities off track | Qualitative: Stable execution, priorities on track Q3 2026 record sales and margin expansion; Q2 strong growth; no management turnover or strategic pivot reported. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management context |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-10-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Dec 17, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
OCC is a high-risk growth business, not yet a proven profitable compounder. Its multi-year view is intact: recent financial performance is strong, and management’s focus on enterprise and data center growth is showing results.
Valuation has risen recently and is expensive versus peers, with a meaningful expectations gap. The evidence describes this as a re-rating, but the priced-in fragility reading is low rather than a broad combination of expensive valuation, weak results, and market stress.
Near-term results show sales and gross profit growing, with gross margins improving as management pursues manufacturing leverage. International growth is also strong, though progress on that priority is mixed; OCC remains loss-making, and recent quarterly misses and the risk of a guidance cut are concerns.
Over the next few quarters, the thesis depends on continued enterprise and data center growth and further margin progress without a guidance cut. Rate cuts or stabilization among technology peers could support the sector backdrop, while weaker guidance would be a meaningful negative.
For the next 1 to 3 years, OCC has a credible growth story supported by recent execution, but its loss-making status, high risk, and expensive valuation make sustained delivery central to the thesis. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results Consolidated net sales for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 increased 22.0% to $24.3 million, compared to $19.9 million for the same period in the prior year.” “Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results Consolidated net sales for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 increased 26.6% to $22.2 million, compared to $17.5 million for the same period in the prior year.” Revenue was $24.297 million in 2026-Q3.
Improvement toward profitability and positive free cash flow | A primary condition in Optical Cable Corp's published investment case. The stated target is free cash flow yield improves to >= 0% over next 4 quarters. | Improving | free cash flow yield remains below -2% over next 4 quarters | Free cash flow yield: 0.44% As of 2026-11-04; trailing twelve months. The target timing and basis require a separate assessment. Nov 4, 20260.44 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth in data center markets | The company focuses on expanding in data center markets, with revenue rising from $16.4M in Q1 to $22.2M in Q2. | Intact | revenue falls below $19.9M in any quarter next year | Revenue: $24.297M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $22.2M revenue in Q2 2026. The stored target says 2026-Q2; this source reports FY2026-Q3. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Sep 9, 202624,297,022 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results Consolidated net sales for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 increased 22.0% to $24.3 million, compared to $19.9 million for the same period in the prior year.” “Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results Consolidated net sales for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 increased 26.6% to $22.2 million, compared to $17.5 million for the same period in the prior year.” Revenue was $24.297 million in 2026-Q3. Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.41 → $0.82 · observed estimates
$0.08B → $0.10B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.41 | $82,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.82 | $105,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Monthly analyst history is unavailable.
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.