Optical Cable Corp (OCC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.85+5.64%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OCC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -83.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 28.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 112.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers
OCC — M&A activity
Dated 2026-05-06
Termination of a Definitive Agreement In connection with the closing of the Loan, Optical Cable Corporation terminated its Virginia Real Estate Loan with Northeast Bank, a banking corporation organized under the laws of Maine, upon its satisfaction by payment in full to Northeast Bank in accordance with the terms of the real estate loan. All ancillary loan documents related to the Virginia Real Estate Loan with Northeast Bank are also terminated and all collateral and security released concur…
Why it matters: Higher SG&A costs can hurt margins and show problems in managing costs.
Worry ifSG&A expenses reported above 30% of net sales in Q3.
Less concerning ifSG&A expenses reported below 30% of net sales in Q3.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong future sales. It reflects customer demand.
Supportive ifSales order backlog increases to over $15 million by the end of Q3.
Worry ifSales order backlog decreases or remains below $10 million by the end of Q3.
Why it matters: The termination of the real estate loan could affect cash flow. This may impact future investments.
Worry ifThe company says it has more cash flow now. Its ability to invest has also improved.
Less concerning ifThe company says it has cash flow problems or cannot invest after termination.
Why it matters: The new loan could help fund growth initiatives. Success in using these funds can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifThe company says it used loan funds for growth projects in six months.
Worry ifThe company does not use loan funds well or has delays in projects.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$403 on $10,000 · ±4.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,131 loss on $10,000 · 11.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,109 loss on $10,000 · 61.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A drop in sector growth could signal challenges for Optical Cable Corp and its peers.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median of 5%.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth stays above its median of 5%.
Why it matters: Higher margins mean better cost control. This can help make more money.
Supportive ifGross profit margin exceeds 35% in Q3.
Worry ifGross profit margin drops below 30% in Q3.
Why it matters: A fall in backlog may show future money issues and less demand from customers.
Worry ifSales order backlog reported below $13.3 million in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifSales order backlog increases above $13.3 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Strong sales growth shows demand in key markets. This boosts investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ3 net sales growth exceeds 20% compared to Q3 of the previous year.
Worry ifQ3 net sales growth falls below 10% compared to Q3 of the previous year.
Why it matters: Growth in this area is a top priority and key to overall company success.
Supportive ifData center market revenue grows year over year by more than 10%.
Worry ifData center market revenue declines or grows less than 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Strong growth in data center markets is key to Optical Cable's future. If revenue continues to rise, it shows the strategy is working.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue from data center markets grows year over year by more than 10%.
Worry ifQ3 revenue from data center markets declines or grows less than 5%.
Why it matters: Growing net income helps keep finances stable. It also makes investors more confident.
Supportive ifQ3 net income exceeds $1 million.
Worry ifQ3 net income is below $500,000.
Why it matters: Higher SG&A costs may mean rising operational costs. This can hurt profitability.
Worry ifSG&A expenses exceed $7 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifSG&A expenses remain below $6 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Strong growth in the data center market is key to OCC's overall performance.
Supportive ifManagement says there is more demand or new contracts in the data center market.
Worry ifManagement says there is less demand or delays in data center projects.