O-I Glass, Inc. (OI)
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-11-04
$5.48+7.03%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -33.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 34.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-27
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On October 27, 2026, O-I Glass, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as a…
Why it matters: Europe made just $2 million in Q3, down from $95 million a year earlier. A clear rise would show the recovery is gaining ground.
Supportive ifEurope segment operating profit tops $2 million in a later quarter. Shipments also rise, or costs fall.
Worry ifEurope segment operating profit stays at or below $2 million, or falls, in a later quarter.
Why it matters: The savings program is meant to lower costs. O-I cut its 2026 benefit goal from at least $200 million to about $180 million.
Supportive ifO-I reports at least $180 million in 2026 Fit to Win benefits and keeps its goal of at least $650 million by the end of 2027.
Worry ifO-I reports less than $180 million in 2026 benefits or cuts its goal of at least $650 million by the end of 2027.
Why it matters: O-I now expects to use about $300 million of cash in 2026. More cash use could add to debt pressure.
Worry ifO-I reports 2026 free cash flow use above $300 million.
Less concerning ifO-I reports free cash flow use of $300 million or less, or positive free cash flow.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$179 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $507 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,921 loss on $10,000 · 69.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.