Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.73 → 0.64 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 3 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 3 to 3; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for OIS yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
EPS at least $0.13 in 2026 | A primary condition in Oil States International, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >= $0.13. | Intact | EPS falls below $0.13 in FY26 | Diluted EPS: $0.05 per share FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $0.13. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Oct 30, 20260.05 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a higher-risk, cyclical energy-services business, not yet a proven durable compounder. Its long-term thesis is in a watch state: recent earnings beats and backlog growth are positive, while overall financial performance remains weak.
OIS is rated cheap versus peers, but the valuation model shows a sizable expectations gap and has only medium confidence. The current pricing is tagged as justified, with sector turbulence identified as the main source of fragility rather than a combination of expensive valuation, weak results, and turbulence.
Near term, recent earnings beats and growth in backlog and Offshore Manufactured Products revenue show some execution progress. Operating income improved between the first and third quarters, but the company remains loss-making overall by the evidence snapshot, and broader profitable growth is mixed. A guidance cut is a meaningful risk, while the sector backdrop is a tailwind that depends on major peers continuing to report strength.
Over the next few quarters, the thesis depends on turning backlog growth into broader, sustained profitable growth while maintaining financial flexibility and cost control. Sector peers’ earnings and guidance could either support or weaken the industry tailwind. A guidance cut would be an important negative signal.
For the 1-to-3-year view, OIS has evidence of improving backlog and some execution progress, but weak overall performance and elevated risk leave the thesis unproven. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| The company aims to improve profit by cutting costs. |
| Intact |
| Operating income falls below $4.28 million in 2026-Q1 |
Operating income: $6.335M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: Operating income >= $4.28 million in 2026-Q1. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q3. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Oct 30, 20266,335,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue reaches at least $165 million in 2025 | A primary condition in Oil States International, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >= $165 million. | Broken | Revenue falls below $165 million in FY25 | Revenue: $169.764M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $165 million. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Oct 30, 2026169,764,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.86 → $0.64 · observed estimates
$0.71B → $0.71B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.86 | $714,475,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.86 | $714,475,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.86 | $714,475,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.86 | $714,475,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.86 | $714,475,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.72 | $714,475,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.86 | $714,475,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.85 | $711,650,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.68 | $710,718,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.81 | $705,218,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.68 | $705,218,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.68 | $705,218,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.68 | $705,218,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.81 | $705,218,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.68 | $705,218,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.81 | $705,218,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.81 | $705,218,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.81 | $705,218,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.81 | $705,218,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.68 | $705,218,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.68 | $705,218,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.68 | $705,218,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.68 | $705,218,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.68 | $705,218,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.68 | $705,218,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.68 | $705,218,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.73 | $706,543,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.71 | $707,043,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.71 | $707,043,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.71 | $707,043,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.71 | $707,043,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.71 | $707,043,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.71 | $707,043,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.71 | $707,043,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.71 | $707,043,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.71 | $707,043,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.71 | $707,075,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.71 | $707,075,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.71 | $707,075,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.71 | $706,975,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.68 | $703,255,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.68 | $703,255,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.68 | $703,255,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.64 | $705,830,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.64 | $705,830,750 | 3 / 3 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 3 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded
1 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.