Oil States International, Inc. (OIS)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OIS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -29.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OIS — CEO transition
Dated 2026-07-13
Lloyd A. Hajdik: The amendment to the Executive Agreement modifies severance benefits but does not indicate a departure or change in role.
Why it matters: New contracts can drive revenue growth and improve backlog. They are crucial for future performance.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of new contracts worth over $50 million in total.
Worry ifNo big new contracts were announced. This may mean stagnation.
Why it matters: Higher revenues show strong sales and market demand. It reflects the company's growth.
Supportive ifQ3 revenues were over $157 million. This shows strong demand.
Worry ifRevenues were below $145 million. This points to possible market weakness.
Why it matters: Higher net income shows better profits and financial health. This can increase investor confidence and help stock performance.
Supportive ifNet income exceeds $6 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNet income stays below $6 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Higher Adjusted EBITDA means the company is making more money. It shows management wants to improve profit margins.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA was over $19 million in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was below $18 million in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$158 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $476 loss on $10,000 · 4.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,732 loss on $10,000 · 47.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This segment showed strong growth in Q2. Continued growth signals a recovery in demand.
Supportive ifDownhole Technologies revenue growth exceeds 22% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifRevenue growth is under 10%. This shows a slowdown in recovery.
Why it matters: Winning more technology awards means the company is innovating. This can improve its reputation and bring in new customers.
Supportive ifNew technology awards will be announced in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo new technology awards announced in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If other companies do better, it might show that the whole sector is recovering. This could help Oil States.
Watch forAt least two peers show composite insight scores above 15.
Also watch forAt least two peers show composite insight scores below 10.
Why it matters: A higher EBITDA margin means better cost control. It also shows improved efficiency.
Supportive ifEBITDA margin was over 20% in Q2. This shows better efficiency.
Worry ifEBITDA margin is below 20%. This suggests ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Improved cash flow would show better financial discipline and support growth plans.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive and exceeds $1M in Q2.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative or worsens in Q2.
Why it matters: Cash flow is critical for maintaining financial discipline. Recent cash flow has been negative.
Supportive ifManagement announces a plan to improve cash flow after Q2 earnings.
Worry ifManagement provides no new plans to address cash flow issues after Q2 earnings.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is crucial for sustaining operations. A drop signals potential issues in demand.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 8% year over year.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth is over 8%. This shows strong performance.
Why it matters: A rebound in sector revenue growth could signal a positive shift for Oil States.
Watch forSector revenue growth picks up to above 3% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth declines further below 1% year over year.
Why it matters: A growing backlog signals strong future demand and supports revenue growth. It shows management is delivering on their priority to grow backlog.
Supportive ifBacklog reported above $451 million in Q3.
Worry ifBacklog reported below $430 million in Q3.
Why it matters: A drop in revenues shows ongoing market problems. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifQ3 revenues reported down year over year worse than -5%.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenues reported stable or growing year over year.