Universal Display (OLED)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$82.34-0.36%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OLED
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -8.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OLED — earnings miss
Dated 2026-04-30
Results of Operations and Financial Condition” (including the exhibit) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be incorporated by reference in any filing made by the Company pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, other than to the extent that such filing incorporates by reference any or all of such information by express reference thereto.
Why it matters: Operating income has gone down. An improvement would show better cost control and stable revenue.
Supportive ifOperating income in Q3 2026 is higher than $53.6 million reported in Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating income in Q3 2026 falls below $53.6 million.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is a key priority. Lower growth may signal bigger issues.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 10% year over year.
Why it matters: A better mix of customers could raise royalty revenues and help finances.
Supportive ifRoyalty and license fees increase to above $60 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifRoyalty and license fees are still below $50 million, showing ongoing challenges.
Why it matters: Guidance at the lower end signals ongoing market challenges. It shows if revenue growth is stalling.
Worry ifManagement says Q3 revenue will be around $630 million.
Less concerning ifManagement raises Q3 revenue to more than $670 million.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$168 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $418 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,804 loss on $10,000 · 48.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Share buybacks show management believes in the company's value and wants to return cash.
Supportive ifManagement announces share buybacks of more than $50 million in Q3.
Worry ifNo share repurchases announced in Q3.
Why it matters: A big drop would show problems in the OLED market. This would hurt growth.
Worry ifQ3 revenue from material sales drops more than 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue from material sales declines less than 10% year over year or grows.
Why it matters: A drop below this level would show worse profits and cost control problems.
Worry ifQ3 operating income was less than $50 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 operating income was more than $50 million.
Why it matters: Sales have dropped a lot. A rise could mean demand is coming back.
Supportive ifMaterial sales grow year over year in Q3 2026 compared to Q2 2026.
Worry ifMaterial sales decline year over year in Q3 2026 compared to Q2 2026.
Why it matters: The earnings report will give updates on revenue and how well the company is doing.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth compared to Q1 2026.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows revenue is still dropping compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key for Universal Display. A positive trend signals recovery.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth shows an increase or stabilizes above $142.21M.
Worry ifQ2 revenue continues to decline year over year below $142.21M.
Why it matters: A rise in dividends shows strong cash flow and a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement announces a dividend increase to more than $0.50 per share.
Worry ifManagement maintains the dividend at $0.50 per share.