Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN)
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$1.79-9.60%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OPEN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -27.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 99.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 127.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 7 industry peers
OPEN — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-21
President — Lucas Matheson: The President is stepping down in an orderly transition with a named successor (the CEO) and an advisory role, indicating a planned succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Management set this target for the end of 2026. Results will test whether better margins and lower costs can support profit.
Supportive ifA company report confirms Adjusted Net Income is positive for the next 12 months by the end of 2026.
Worry ifA company report shows Adjusted Net Income stays negative for the next 12 months at year-end 2026. Or management moves the target past year-end.
Why it matters: Opendoor issued $650 million of 0% convertible notes and repurchased some shares. Later filings can show how the deal changes debt and shares.
Watch forA later filing shows the notes are still outstanding. It reports any share conversion or further share repurchases tied to the deal.
Also watch forA later filing shows the notes were repaid, canceled, or changed through a new deal, with no share conversion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$270 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $856 loss on $10,000 · 8.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,081 loss on $10,000 · 80.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.