Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Optimum Communications, Inc. (OPTU)
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.57-17.50%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for OPTU yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital spending near $1.2 billion in 2025 | The company plans $1.2 billion in capital spending in 2025. | Intact | Capital spending falls significantly below $1.2 billion in 2025 | Capital expenditures: $320.025M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=1200000000 USD. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Jun 30, 2026320,025,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk, loss-making business with a restructuring component, rather than a proven durable compounder. The multi-year view is in a watch state: broadband and margin measures are improving, but management execution is volatile and the overall signal recently turned cautious.
OPTU is tagged as stretched, even though the valuation comparison points to a discount versus peers; these signals make the expectations picture mixed. The estimated expectations gap is 0.11, but confidence in that estimate is low, so the market’s assumptions are not clear-cut.
Near term, another guidance cut or earnings miss is a meaningful risk, following recent misses and a September earnings miss; the next-print miss risk is elevated. Across the multi-year thesis, broadband subscriber losses have narrowed, faster-tier adoption has grown, and margins have expanded, while restructuring execution remains mixed.
The thesis depends on continued improvement in broadband trends, subscriber quality, and cost efficiency, alongside progress in the capital structure repositioning. Near-term outcomes also hinge on whether guidance is maintained, and whether lower rates or stronger results from sector peers support the broader sector backdrop.
For the next 1 to 3 years, OPTU has measurable operating progress but remains a cautious, high-risk thesis with losses, recent setbacks, and uncertain valuation expectations. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in Optimum Communications, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >=2065368000 USD. |
| Broken |
| Revenue falls below $2.07 billion in 2026-Q1 |
Revenue: $2.024B FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=2065368000 USD. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q2. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Aug 6, 20262,023,703,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Manage executive transitions without disrupting operations | Leadership changes are managed to keep stability. | Intact | Executive transitions cause major disruptions or resignations | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.70 → $-1.15 · observed estimates
$7.78B → $7.72B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.70 | $7,778,616,150 | 12 / 11 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.70 | $7,778,616,150 | 12 / 11 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.70 | $7,778,616,150 | 12 / 11 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.70 | $7,778,616,150 | 12 / 11 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.70 | $7,778,616,150 | 12 / 11 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 10 / 9 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.70 | $7,778,616,150 | 12 / 11 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-0.70 | $7,778,616,150 | 12 / 11 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-0.70 | $7,778,616,150 | 12 / 11 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-0.70 | $7,778,616,150 | 12 / 11 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-0.70 | $7,778,616,150 | 12 / 11 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.70 | $7,778,648,140 | 12 / 12 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.65 | $7,784,246,890 | 11 / 12 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.65 | $7,784,246,890 | 11 / 12 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-1.05 | $7,784,668,040 | 12 / 12 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.72 | $7,754,767,407 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-1.10 | $7,748,359,427 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-1.10 | $7,748,359,427 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-1.20 | $7,750,151,691 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-1.16 | $7,734,373,206 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-1.16 | $7,734,373,206 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-1.16 | $7,734,373,206 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-1.16 | $7,734,373,206 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-1.16 | $7,734,373,206 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-1.16 | $7,734,373,206 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-1.16 | $7,734,373,206 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-1.16 | $7,734,373,206 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-1.16 | $7,734,373,206 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-1.16 | $7,734,373,206 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-1.14 | $7,725,525,024 | 8 / 9 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-1.14 | $7,725,525,024 | 8 / 9 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-1.14 | $7,725,525,024 | 8 / 9 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-1.14 | $7,724,460,342 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-1.14 | $7,724,460,342 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-1.15 | $7,717,857,524 | 9 / 9 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 6 Hold · 5 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.