Optimum Communications, Inc. (OPTU)
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.05+0.96%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OPTU
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 5.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -5.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OPTU — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-08-14
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing On August 13, 2026, Optimum Communications, Inc. (the “Company”) received a notice (the “Notice”) from the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) indicating the Company is not in compliance with Section 802.01C of the NYSE Listed Company Manual because the average closing price of the Company’s Class A common stock was less than $1.00 over a consecutive 30 trading-day period (the “Price Criteria”…
Why it matters: Growth in the sector can affect Optimum's success. Good trends may show a recovery.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive after being negative.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains negative.
Why it matters: Changing prices could affect how many subscribers stay and how much money they make. A good plan could help the business.
Supportive ifNew pricing tiers that help keep subscribers and lower churn rates.
Worry ifNo changes in pricing or high churn rates even with new offers.
Why it matters: Doing the capital restructuring plan well is key for financial health and future growth.
Supportive ifManagement says they worked out a deal with the Co-Op Group about CSC Holdings Debt.
Worry ifNo progress is reported in negotiations with the Co-Op Group.
Why it matters: The tender offer changes the capital structure. It also impacts investor trust.
Watch forThe tender offer buys at least $300 million in shares.
Also watch forThe tender offer fails to purchase the targeted amount of shares.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$472 on $10,000 · ±4.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $851 loss on $10,000 · 8.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,769 loss on $10,000 · 77.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Updates on money spending show how management plans to improve finances. Good changes help investors.
Supportive ifManagement announces a new investment or a better way to spend money.
Worry ifNo updates or bad news about money spending.
Why it matters: Strong growth in mobile lines shows success. This reflects good customer engagement and strategies.
Supportive ifMobile line net additions exceed 50k in Q3.
Worry ifMobile line net additions fall below 30k in Q3.
Why it matters: Regaining compliance with the $1.00 price requirement is crucial to maintain NYSE listing. Failure to comply could lead to delisting.
Worry ifClass A stock closes at or above $1.00 for a 30-day period.
Less concerning ifClass A stock remains below $1.00 for the next 30 trading days.
Why it matters: How management spends money affects the company's health. Changes may show a new plan.
Supportive ifManagement shares a clear plan to spend money better.
Worry ifNo changes or more delays in money spending plans.
Why it matters: The changes to the capital structure will impact how Optimum manages its money and debt.
Supportive ifCompletion of the cash tender offer for up to $300 million of Optimum common stock at $2.50 per share.
Worry ifNot finishing the cash tender offer or big delays in the restructuring process.
Why it matters: The company has six months to get its stock price above $1.00. If it fails, it risks delisting.
Worry ifThe stock closes above $1.00 for 30 consecutive trading days.
Less concerning ifThe stock remains below $1.00 for the entire six-month period.
Why it matters: Losing subscribers shows it is hard to keep customers. This affects revenue and market share.
Worry ifBroadband primary service units net losses exceed -40k in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifNet losses improve to less than -30k in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Better margins mean good cost control. This shows the company runs efficiently.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is over 39% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin falls below 38% in Q3 2026.