Optimum Communications, Inc. (OPTU)
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.57-17.50%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OPTU
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 5.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -5.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers
OPTU — director transition
Dated 2026-11-03
Director — Elizabeth Abrams, Daniel Silvers: The filing discloses the appointment of two new independent directors to a special committee to handle strategic transactions and conflicts of interest, which is a significant governance change but not an executive departure.
Why it matters: The company plans to restate past results after it failed to record some costs. The size and scope matter.
Worry ifRestated reports show higher costs or losses. Or, the company names more affected periods than it had already named.
Less concerning ifThe restated reports show only a small change, with no added affected periods or new control issue.
Why it matters: Meeting the test can keep the shares listed. Missing it can start NYSE delisting steps.
Watch forBy a month-end cure date, the stock closes at $1.00 or more and its 30-day average close is at least $1.00.
Also watch forThe company does not meet both $1.00 tests by February 13, 2027, and the NYSE starts suspension or delisting steps.
Why it matters: Q2 free cash flow was negative $91.9 million. A positive result would ease cash pressure.
Supportive ifQ3 free cash flow is above $0.
Worry ifQ3 free cash flow stays below $0, or falls below negative $91.9 million.
Why it matters: A deal could ease pressure from large debt payments. About $6.2 billion comes due in 2027.
Watch forThe company announces a full deal with the CSC Holdings debt group before the 2027 maturities.
Also watch forThe company reports no deal, or a missed payment or default, as the 2027 maturities near.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$408 on $10,000 · ±4.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $916 loss on $10,000 · 9.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,208 loss on $10,000 · 72.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 broadband losses were 40,000 and included help from a bulk deal. Lower losses without that help would show better customer trends.
Supportive ifQ3 broadband net losses are fewer than 40,000, and the company says a bulk deal did not drive the improvement.
Worry ifQ3 broadband net losses are 40,000 or more, or a bulk deal again masks weaker customer trends.