OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-05
$30.72-1.82%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OSW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 46.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 37.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OSW — earnings in line
Dated 2026-07-29
of Form 8-K, “Results of Operations and Financial Condition” and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (“Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: The UK and Italy reorganization shifted some staff work to outside providers. Rising fees could weigh on earnings even as sales grow.
Worry ifThe next report shows third-party management and logistics fees above $2.1 million for the quarter. Or it says those costs rose from a year ago.
Less concerning ifThe next report shows those fees below $2.1 million for the quarter and says the transition costs have eased.
Why it matters: More ship revenue days, higher guest spend, and pre-booked services drove Q3 growth. A slowdown in these measures could weaken the growth story.
Watch forIn the next reported quarter, ship revenue days and average guest spend both rise from a year ago. Pre-booked revenue also grows.
Also watch forShip revenue days or average guest spend falls year over year, or pre-booked revenue declines.
Why it matters: OSW approved a new buyback after completing its prior $75 million program. Reported purchases will show how much cash it returns through this plan.
Supportive ifA filing or earnings release reports shares bought under the new $100 million program.
Worry ifA later filing or earnings release shows no purchases under the new program. Or it says the program was paused or ended.
Why it matters: The board raised the quarterly dividend by 25%. The next payment will show whether OSW puts the new rate into effect.
Supportive ifThe next declared quarterly dividend is at least $0.0625 per share.
Worry ifThe next declared quarterly dividend is below $0.0625 per share, or OSW announces a cut or pause.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$120 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $339 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,437 loss on $10,000 · 24.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.