Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR)
NASDAQUtilitiesConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$83.82+0.49%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OTTR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -10.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OTTR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 2, 2026 Otter Tail Corporation issued a press release announcing its consolidated financial results for the third quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto) shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under th…
Why it matters: The Q2 update set this adjusted EPS range after a lower reported range. Q3 results test whether earnings are tracking it.
Watch forQ3 adjusted EPS keeps the full-year adjusted EPS range at $5.68–$6.08 or raises it.
Also watch forQ3 results lead management to cut the full-year adjusted EPS range below $5.68.
Why it matters: Q2 PVC volumes rose 15%, but average selling prices fell 14%. More volume may not offset lower prices.
Watch forA reported quarter shows PVC sales volume up from a year earlier. Adjusted net income is at least Q2's $47.1 million.
Also watch forPVC volume falls year over year, or adjusted net income drops below Q2's $47.1 million as selling prices fall.
Why it matters: Manufacturing net income rose 31% in Q2 as sales volumes and product mix improved. A reversal would weaken the recent trend.
Watch forA reported quarter shows Manufacturing net income above the same quarter a year earlier. Sales volume is also up.
Also watch forManufacturing net income or sales volume falls below the same quarter last year.
Why it matters: Court approval would resolve claims from the three putative classes. A rejection could leave legal costs and uncertainty in place.
Watch forThe court grants final approval to all three settlement agreements for $103.5 million.
Also watch forThe court denies final approval, or the agreements fail to resolve all three class claims.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$87 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $204 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,153 loss on $10,000 · 11.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.