Ouster, Inc. (OUST)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$36.43+1.67%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OUST
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -22.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 32.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 55.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 71 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OUST — debt issuance
Dated 2026-07-06
Other Events. On July 2, 2026, Ouster, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Northland Securities, Inc. as underwriter (the “Underwriter”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to issue and sell an aggregate of 3,621,876 shares (the “Firm Shares”) of its common stock, par value $0.0001 per share (“Common Stock”) to the Underwriter (the “Offering”). Additionally, under the terms of the Underwriting Agreement, the Company granted the Und…
Why it matters: Better gross margins show Ouster can control costs. This helps build investor trust.
Supportive ifGAAP gross margin exceeds 49% in Q3.
Worry ifGAAP gross margin falls below 49% in Q3.
Why it matters: Increasing shipments indicate strong demand and market acceptance of Ouster's products. This is crucial for sustaining revenue growth.
Supportive ifProduct shipments exceed 18,000 units in Q3.
Worry ifProduct shipments fall below 17,000 units in Q3.
Why it matters: Strong sales of Rev8 OS would confirm its market acceptance and boost overall revenue.
Supportive ifRev8 OS made a big revenue contribution in Q3.
Worry ifLimited revenue growth attributed to Rev8 OS in Q3.
Why it matters: Better performance in the sector may help Ouster grow. It can also boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to over 4% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth slows down to below 4% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$490 on $10,000 · ±4.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,026 loss on $10,000 · 10.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,515 loss on $10,000 · 55.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth drops, it may impact Ouster's performance. It could signal a broader slowdown.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: Good integration can boost revenue and improve products. This is important for Ouster's edge.
Supportive ifStereolabs added over $5 million in revenue in Q3.
Worry ifStereolabs did not add significant revenue in Q3.
Why it matters: Updates on this deal could affect growth and market position.
Watch forThey will announce a successful integration or benefits from the deal.
Also watch forDelays or problems with the deal will be announced.
Why it matters: This guidance shows if Ouster can sustain its growth momentum. Meeting or exceeding this range supports ongoing demand for its products.
Supportive ifTotal revenue for Q3 meets or exceeds $57.5 million.
Worry ifTotal revenue for Q3 falls below $54.5 million.