Owlet Inc (OWLT)
NYSEHealth CareMedical - DevicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$4.53+7.09%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareMedical - DevicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OWLT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -76.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 21.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 97.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 29 industry peers
OWLT — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-07-01
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth above in
Why it matters: Owlet launched OnCall in Q1 and named telehealth as a growth area. A clear update can show whether families are using the service.
Watch forThe November 12 results give a number for OnCall use or revenue and report growth since launch.
Also watch forThe November 12 results report no measurable use or revenue, or say the service launch has been delayed.
Why it matters: Owlet had about $33.8M in cash and available credit after refinancing. Later cash and borrowing figures will show how much room it has to fund operations.
Watch forThe next filing shows liquidity at or above $33.8M and no breach of credit terms.
Also watch forThe next filing shows liquidity below $33.8M or a breach of credit terms.
Why it matters: The refund raised reported margin, but the company said its underlying 2026 view was nearly unchanged. Margin in this range would support its operating plan.
Supportive ifQ3 gross margin, excluding tariff refunds, is at least 53%.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin, excluding tariff refunds, is below 53%.
Why it matters: Owlet needs $118M to $122M in 2026 revenue. That leaves about $29.5M to $30.8M per quarter in the second half.
Watch forQ3 revenue is at least $29.5M, keeping the company on pace for the low end of its 2026 range.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $29.5M, putting the $118M full-year floor at risk unless Q4 makes up the gap.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$234 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $720 loss on $10,000 · 7.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,561 loss on $10,000 · 75.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Subscriptions were $3.2M in Q2, up from $0.9M a year earlier. More growth would support Owlet's focus on recurring revenue.
Supportive ifQ3 subscription revenue exceeds $3.2M.
Worry ifQ3 subscription revenue is $3.2M or less.