Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$84.68+4.03%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PATK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 33.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PATK — dividend update
Dated 2026-06-30
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Agreement and Plan of Merger On June 30, 2026, Patrick Industries, Inc., an Indiana corporation (the “ Company ”), LCI Industries, a Delaware corporation (“ LCI ”), Planet First Merger Sub Inc., a newly formed Delaware corporation and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of the Company (“ First Merger Sub ”), and Planet Second Merger Sub LLC, a newly formed Indiana limited liability company and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of the Company (“ Second Me…
Why it matters: Cash from operations was $147 million through nine months, down from $199 million a year ago. A recovery would ease concern about working capital use.
Watch forFull-year cash from operations is at least equal to the prior-year full-year amount.
Also watch forFull-year cash from operations is below the prior-year full-year amount.
Why it matters: RV revenue fell 15%, while industry shipments fell 13% in Q3. A wider gap could signal weaker content or share.
Worry ifIn the next reported quarter, RV revenue falls more than 13% year over year.
Less concerning ifRV revenue falls 13% or less, or grows year over year.
Why it matters: In Q3, Marine and Powersports grew while RV sales fell. More growth across these markets would support the diversification plan.
Supportive ifIn the next reported quarter, Marine and Powersports revenue both grow year over year. Together, they offset at least half of the RV revenue drop.
Worry ifMarine or Powersports revenue falls year over year, or together they offset less than half of the RV revenue drop.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$152 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $336 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,641 loss on $10,000 · 56.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.