PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$45.65+5.04%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PDFS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 38.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 23.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PDFS — debt issuance
Dated 2026-05-15
Other Events. On May 13, 2026, PDF Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, as representative of the several underwriters named therein (collectively, the “Underwriters”), and Advantest America, Inc. (the “Selling Stockholder”) in connection with (i) the offering, issuance and sale by the Company of 1,946,630 shares of the Company’s common stock, $0.00015 par value per share (the “Common Stock”), inclu…
Why it matters: Adoption of Exensio shows market demand for PDF's products. It is vital for future growth.
Supportive ifAt least one new major customer is using Exensio.
Worry ifNo new customer announcements for Exensio in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Details on the debt issuance could affect the company's cash flow and financial flexibility. It will show how the company manages its capital.
Watch forDebt issuance leads to improved cash flow and liquidity.
Also watch forIssuing debt can hurt cash flow or raise financial obligations a lot.
Why it matters: A gross profit margin over 70% shows strong pricing and good cost control. It means the company can make more money.
Supportive ifGross profit margin exceeds 70% in Q2.
Worry ifGross profit margin drops below 65% in Q2.
Why it matters: If this happens, it means PDF Solutions is managing costs well. This also shows they are making more money.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP operating margin hits 27% or more.
Worry ifNon-GAAP operating margin stays below 22% for Q3.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$375 on $10,000 · ±3.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $670 loss on $10,000 · 6.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,184 loss on $10,000 · 41.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Positive operating income shows good cost management. It also shows the company is working to make more money.
Supportive ifOperating income is positive and over $5M in Q2.
Worry ifOperating income falls back into a loss in Q2.
Why it matters: Converting backlog into revenue is key for growth. It shows demand for PDF Solutions' products.
Supportive ifAt least $50 million of backlog converts to revenue in Q2.
Worry ifLess than $30 million of backlog converts to revenue in Q2.
Why it matters: Meeting the 20% growth target shows PDF Solutions is on track with its strategy. This would confirm strong demand and effective execution.
Supportive ifQ3 total revenue growth of 20% or more year over year.
Worry ifQ3 total revenue growth below 15% year over year.
Why it matters: A bigger backlog means more money in the future. It shows strong demand for PDF Solutions' products.
Supportive ifBacklog increases to $280 million or more by Q3.
Worry ifBacklog decreases or fails to grow in Q3.
Why it matters: Winning new customers for these products shows they are popular. This supports PDF Solutions' growth plan.
Watch forAnnouncement of at least two new major customers for Exensio or eProbe.
Also watch forNo new customer wins announced for Exensio or eProbe in the next quarter.