Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
$18.03+1.69%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PEB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PEB — dividend update
Dated 2026-06-15
Other Events. On June 15, 2026, the Board authorized and the Company declared a dividend of $0.01 per share on the Company's common shares of beneficial interest, $0.01 par value per share ("Common Shares"), for the quarter ending June 30, 2026 (the "Common Dividend"). On June 15, 2026, the Board also authorized and the Company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.39844 per share on the Company's 6.375% Series E Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Shares of Beneficial Interest, $0.01 par value per…
Why it matters: RevPAR growth is key for hotel performance. Changes can signal shifts in market demand.
Watch forRevPAR growth is now over 2% compared to last year.
Also watch forRevPAR growth is now under 1% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Hitting this investment goal is key for property quality and revenue growth. Missing it might show problems.
Supportive ifPebblebrook plans to invest at least $65 million in 2026.
Worry ifPebblebrook plans to invest less than $65 million in 2026.
Why it matters: Continued asset sales can improve the balance sheet and reduce debt. A halt in sales may signal financial strain.
Supportive ifThey announced more asset sales worth over $50 million.
Worry ifNo new asset sales announced within the next quarter.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company is improving or still losing money. Investors will react strongly to these results.
Watch forEarnings report shows a smaller loss or a profit compared to Q1 results.
Also watch forEarnings report shows a larger loss than in Q1.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$137 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $274 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,639 loss on $10,000 · 16.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Higher free cash flow shows the company's ability to invest in growth or reduce debt. This is key for long-term value.
Supportive ifDiscretionary free cash flow is up from previous quarters.
Worry ifDiscretionary free cash flow decreases or remains flat.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows a focus on property upgrades. This can help increase revenue. Missing it may show problems in operations.
Supportive ifTotal capital investments reach $65 million or more by the end of 2026.
Worry ifTotal capital investments fall below $65 million by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a recovery in the real estate sector. This would be positive for Pebblebrook.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth shows a year-over-year increase of more than 5%.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps falling compared to last year.
Why it matters: A new buyback program shows trust in the company’s finances and value for shareholders.
Supportive ifA new preferred share buyback program is announced for over $50 million.
Worry ifNo announcement of a new preferred share buyback program.
Why it matters: Ongoing drops may show weak demand from the government. This can hurt overall results.
Worry ifWashington, DC RevPAR declines further than 9.9% year over year.
Less concerning ifWashington, DC RevPAR stays steady or goes up each year.
Why it matters: Reducing debt helps financial health. It shows management wants to strengthen the balance sheet.
Supportive ifDebt reported down by at least $40 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifDebt remains unchanged or increases after the sale.
Why it matters: This growth rate is a key measure of hotel performance. A drop below this level could signal weakening demand.
Worry ifSame-Property Total RevPAR growth is below 4.1% in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifSame-Property Total RevPAR growth is above 5.3% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: A higher ratio may show worse financial health. It can limit how money is spent.
Worry ifNet debt/TTM corporate EBITDA rises above 5.3x.
Less concerning ifNet debt/TTM corporate EBITDA remains at or below 5.3x.
Why it matters: This metric shows how much money the company makes. A drop may mean less profit.
Worry ifAdjusted FFO per diluted share falls below $0.58 in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifAdjusted FFO per diluted share rises above $0.62 in Q3 2026.