Phillips Edison & Company (PECO)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$41.14+3.94%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PECO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PECO — earnings in line
Dated 2026-07-23
Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
Why it matters: PECO raised its 2026 same-center NOI growth midpoint to 3.75%. Growth below that mark would miss its latest plan.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 same-center NOI growth is below 3.75%, the midpoint of PECO's latest guidance.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 same-center NOI growth is 3.75% or higher.
Why it matters: The expanded venture lets PECO keep managing these centers and earn service fees. Closing the transfer would put the deal into action.
Supportive ifPECO reports that all 13 centers, worth about $377.5 million, have moved to the expanded venture.
Worry ifPECO reports that the transfer is delayed, reduced, or canceled.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$69 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $131 loss on $10,000 · 1.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,656 loss on $10,000 · 16.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.