PEDEVCO Corp (PED)
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
$14.46-4.49%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PED
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 18.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 18.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The two one-year growth estimates are about the same.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 28 industry peers
PED — CEO transition
Dated 2026-09-21
CEO — J. Douglas Schick: The CEO transitioned to an advisor role with a named internal successor (COO) and no reported disagreements, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: PEDEVCO paid $5.9 million for 5,678 Wyoming acres. A company drilling plan or well result would test the acreage’s value.
Watch forThe company names a Mowry well plan or reports a well result on the new acreage with production data.
Also watch forThe company reports no drilling plan before the 10-year lease term ends, or says the acreage is not commercial.
Why it matters: Management set a $16 million to $20 million net capital spending range. Spending above the top end could limit debt paydown.
Worry ifReported net capital spending for 2026 is more than $20 million.
Less concerning ifReported net capital spending for 2026 is $20 million or less.
Why it matters: Q2 production fell 16% from Q1. Management said July output would be lower during well work, then improve as wells returned.
Watch forThe November 13 report shows production rising from Q2’s 6,801 Boe per day. Affected wells return, and Hastings adds output.
Also watch forThe November 13 report shows production at or below 6,801 Boe per day, or says well returns or Hastings output were delayed.
Why it matters: Management plans over 20 gross wells in the second half of 2026. It linked this work to more production in late 2026 and 2027.
Supportive ifThe company reports drilling or joining in more than 20 gross wells. Production then rises in late 2026 or 2027.
Worry ifThe company reports fewer than 20 gross wells, or production does not rise after the program.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$246 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $764 loss on $10,000 · 7.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,494 loss on $10,000 · 44.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.