NYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-07-08
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $81.80. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $82 PEG trades at 2.4× p/b, in line with its 2.3× p/b peer median, and our $78 fair value agrees. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $81–$91. Note: our $78 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($81–$91). Not investment advice.
$81.00 – $91.00 (median $88.50) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-07-01
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 554% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly — years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $0.57/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $88.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $59.65 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $106.05 | 24.4 | 4.34 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $80.55 | 2.3 | 34.61 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $111.68 | 24.4 | 4.57 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $78.61 | 3.1 | 25.59 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $27.64 | 6.0 | 4.57 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $40.44 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $79.70 | 17.4 | 4.57 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $113.47 | 24.4 | 4.64 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $111.94 | 24.4 | 4.58 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $94.64 | 2.3 | 40.66 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $117.16 | 24.4 | 4.79 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $81.91 | 3.1 | 26.66 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $29.00 | 6.0 | 4.79 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $83.61 | 17.4 | 4.79 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $116.05 | 24.4 | 4.75 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $105.38 | 2.3 | 45.28 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $120.35 | 24.4 | 4.92 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $84.14 | 3.1 | 27.39 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $29.78 | 6.0 | 4.92 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $85.89 | 17.4 | 4.92 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
