Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PEG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 7.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PEG — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition PSEG On November 2, 2026, PSEG announced financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the earnings release dated November 2, 2026 is furnished as Exhibit 99 to this Form 8-K.
Why it matters: PSEG reported a 92.0% nuclear capacity factor in Q2. A sharp drop could reduce power output and weaken earnings.
Worry ifPSEG reports a nuclear capacity factor below 85% for a quarter.
Less concerning ifPSEG reports a nuclear capacity factor at or above 90% for the next quarter.
Why it matters: High hedging can steady earnings when power prices move. Less coverage leaves more earnings exposed to market prices.
Supportive ifPSEG reports that more than 95% of expected 2026 nuclear output remains hedged.
Worry ifPSEG reports that less than 90% of expected 2026 nuclear output is hedged.
Why it matters: This spending plan supports PSEG's growth goal. A shortfall could delay work that adds to its regulated business.
Supportive ifPSEG reports about $4.2 billion in regulated spending for 2026, near its stated plan.
Worry ifPSEG reports regulated spending below $4.0 billion for 2026, or says key projects are delayed.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$67 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $209 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,283 loss on $10,000 · 22.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.