Penn Entertainment (PENN)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
$17.07-0.76%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PENN
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $17 PENN trades at 43× p/e — 2.8× the 15× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $16 fair value is low-confidence here. Analysts target $22–$28. Note: our $16 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($22–$28). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $26.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $4.81 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $11.03 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $10.20 | 16.1 | 0.63 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
$22.00 – $28.00 (median $26.00) · 9 analysts · as of 2026-08-07
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
| $19.35 |
| 15.3 |
| 1.27 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $42.87 | 0.8 | 52.22 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $10.62 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $6.04 | 15.1 | 0.40 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $1.86 | 16.1 | 0.12 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $21.70 | 15.3 | 1.42 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $51.13 | 0.8 | 62.28 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $24.33 | 15.3 | 1.59 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $57.34 | 0.8 | 69.84 | Analyst | medium |