Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. (PESI)
NASDAQIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$12.84+0.23%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.09 → 0.09 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for PESI yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Successful use of debt capital to support growth | The company raised capital through debt issuance. | Intact | Debt issuance fails or capital is misused causing cash strain | Debt issuance completed May 2026 vs H2 2026 target May 2026 8-K confirms firm commitment underwritten public offering with Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a speculative turnaround, meaning the thesis depends on improving a weak business rather than on a record of steady profits. The long-term thesis is in a watch state: recent momentum improved, but financial performance remains weak and the company is still loss-making.
PESI is tagged as stretched and carries a durable premium, with its valuation 1.78 times the peer level in the snapshot. The expectations gap is modest at 0.12, while the premium is not paired with the full set of weak, turbulent conditions that would make the setup more fragile.
Near term, results may remain uneven: PESI missed earnings in May and July, and the evidence flags elevated risk of another miss. Revenue rose from $11.1 million in the first quarter of 2026 to $12.9 million in the second, while the net loss narrowed from $7.5 million to $6.2 million; management says improving operating performance and expanding capacity remain priorities.
Over the next few quarters, the thesis depends on whether the company can turn expanded facility capacity and mobilization of the Lawrence Livermore contract into sustained operating improvement. Execution of the public offering and planned facility and PFAS development work is still pending, while guidance and results from sector bellwethers could either support or weaken the sector backdrop.
Over a 1- to 3-year view, PESI offers a recovery story with early signs of improvement, but persistent losses, earnings-miss risk, and a stretched valuation keep the thesis uncertain. The key test is whether capacity growth translates into durable financial progress. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is EPS >= $0.65. |
| Broken |
| EPS remains negative or below $0.30 in FY27 |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth of about 71% in next fiscal year | Revenue is expected to grow about 71% next year. | Broken | YoY revenue growth falls below 50% in FY27 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.65 → $0.09 · observed estimates
$0.13B → $0.10B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.65 | $127,925,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.65 | $127,925,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.65 | $127,925,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.65 | $127,925,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.65 | $127,925,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.65 | $127,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.09 | $101,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.