Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. (PESI)
NASDAQIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
$18.70+1.74%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PESI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 110.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 57.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 53.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PESI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-28
of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Preliminary Q2 Results The second quarter of 2026 marked an important operational miles…
Why it matters: The industrial sector is maturing. If revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Perma-Fix's performance.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is speeding up again toward 5% or more.
Worry ifSector revenue growth stays below 5% or keeps slowing down.
Why it matters: Completing the offering will provide funds for upgrades. It will also help with PFAS development.
Supportive ifThe company finishes the public offering and shares how much was raised.
Worry ifThe offering does not close or is much smaller.
Why it matters: Doing well on this contract would boost revenue and operations.
Supportive ifRevenue from the Lawrence Livermore contract helps the Services Segment.
Worry ifRevenue from the Lawrence Livermore contract does not come in as expected.
Why it matters: The company plans to issue debt for capital allocation. Progress could impact financial stability and growth plans.
Supportive ifThey announced a successful debt issuance with good terms.
Worry ifThey failed to complete the debt issuance or announced bad terms.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$246 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $623 loss on $10,000 · 6.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,537 loss on $10,000 · 45.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if management's goals for better performance are met. This report is important for measuring success.
Watch forQ2 2026 earnings report shows revenue growth of at least 10% compared to Q1 2026.
Also watch forQ2 2026 earnings report shows revenue decline compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Growth above this level would back up management's view for better performance in 2026.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue was over $12.9 million. This shows a good trend.
Worry ifQ2 revenue was below $12.9 million. This shows ongoing problems.
Why it matters: If they succeed, it will show growth in the Services Segment. This will help management's plan.
Supportive ifLook for public news about big progress or milestones under the $24 million contract.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in progress for the contract.
Why it matters: Higher receipts would show the DFLAW program is working well and operations are better.
Supportive ifReport of a big increase in Hanford waste receipts, showing growth in operations.
Worry ifLow levels of Hanford waste receipts show that there are still operational problems.