Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. (PESI)
NASDAQIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$12.81-1.84%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PESI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 85.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 67.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers
PESI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-28
of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Preliminary Q2 Results The second quarter of 2026 marked an important operational miles…
Why it matters: The company says the unit is designed to raise treatment capacity. More completed work would show that PFAS plans are gaining traction.
Supportive ifThe company reports new PFAS project wins or completed treatment work using the Gen 2.0 unit.
Worry ifThe company reports no new PFAS work, or delays in installing or using the Gen 2.0 unit.
Why it matters: More Hanford waste could lift use of the expanded plant. Shipments may vary with government plans and timing.
Supportive ifThe company reports higher Hanford waste receipts, including DFLAW waste, in a later quarter than in Q1.
Worry ifThe company reports no added Hanford waste streams, or lower receipts than in Q1.
Why it matters: Management said better results would start in Q2. Q1 revenue was $11.1 million, so the next report tests that claim.
Watch forIn the Nov. 9 results, Q3 revenue is above $11.1 million and net loss is below $7.5 million.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is $11.1 million or less, or net loss is $7.5 million or more.
Why it matters: The two-year contract is valued at about $24 million. More project work could help reverse the Services decline.
Supportive ifServices revenue tops $3.2 million in a reported quarter. Work for Lawrence Livermore moves forward.
Worry ifServices revenue is $3.2 million or less, or the company reports a contract delay or smaller scope.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$202 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $622 loss on $10,000 · 6.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,537 loss on $10,000 · 45.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The May offering was proposed to fund plant upgrades, PFAS work, and general needs. Its terms and closing show how much funding is available.
Watch forA final prospectus or company filing says the offering closed and gives its size and terms.
Also watch forThe company reports that the offering was withdrawn, did not close, or raised less than its stated needs.