Grabagun Digital Holdings Inc (PEW)
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.35+2.17%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PEW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -79.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 85.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 44 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PEW — CFO transition
Dated 2026-09-03
CFO — Justin Hilty: The CFO resigned and retired with a structured separation agreement including accelerated equity and a transition advisory period, indicating an orderly exit rather than a sudden loss.
Why it matters: Rising net income shows better financial health and success.
Supportive ifNet income improves to a loss of less than $1.8 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNet income worsens, exceeding a loss of $1.8 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Better margins show good cost control and smart pricing.
Supportive ifGross profit margin improved by over 290 basis points from last year.
Worry ifGross profit margin improvement less than 290 basis points.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows Grabagun is gaining market share and doing well.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue growth exceeds 11.1% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue growth falls below 11.1% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Hitting this revenue target shows Grabagun is on track to reach its annual goal of $96.4 million.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue reported at $25 million or higher.
Worry ifQ2 revenue reported below $25 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$158 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $544 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,586 loss on $10,000 · 65.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The share repurchase program shows that management believes in the company's value. This can help the share price.
Supportive ifSpending $8.7 million on share repurchases would show good use of capital.
Worry ifNo share repurchases would signal a lack of confidence in the company's strength.
Why it matters: Making a profit would be a big change for the company.
Supportive ifNet income is positive in Q2. This shows the company is financially healthy.
Worry ifNet loss is over -$1.8 million. This shows ongoing financial problems.
Why it matters: Higher margins mean better cost control. This can lead to more profit.
Supportive ifGross profit margin exceeds 10.7%, showing effective cost control.
Worry ifGross profit margin drops below 9.6%, indicating rising costs.
Why it matters: Growth in PEW Logistics shows that new business ideas are working.
Supportive ifPEW Logistics has revenue growth over 10% in Q2.
Worry ifPEW Logistics revenue growth remains flat or declines.
Why it matters: Sustaining revenue growth supports Grabagun's goal of reaching $96.4 million for the year.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 9% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 9% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Adding partners would show progress in expanding revenue streams and market reach.
Supportive ifA press release says PEW Logistics has a fourth manufacturing partner.
Worry ifNo new manufacturing partners added in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Higher margins show good pricing and product choices. This helps make more money long-term.
Supportive ifGross profit margin exceeds 14% in Q3.
Worry ifGross profit margin remains below 13.5% in Q3.
Why it matters: A smooth change can keep operations steady. It also helps keep investor trust.
Watch forInvestors and analysts give positive feedback on the new CFO's work.
Also watch forThere are worries that the change could hurt financial operations.