Impinj, Inc. (PI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$172.57-1.45%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 59.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 19.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 40.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 71 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PI — earnings in line
Dated 2026-04-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 29, 2026, Impinj, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release, entitled “Impinj Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results” is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference herein. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K and the exhibit attached hereto shall not be deemed “fil…
Why it matters: This is a key test of the company's focus on revenue growth. A low number shows ongoing struggles.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 10% year over year.
Why it matters: More gross profit shows better pricing or cost control. This is important for recovery.
Supportive ifGross profit reported above $36.5 million.
Worry ifGross profit reported below $36.5 million.
Why it matters: A drop in gross profit margin shows rising costs. This may lower overall profits.
Worry ifGross profit margin drops below 49.1%.
Less concerning ifGross profit margin stays at or above 49.1%.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows that costs are managed well. This can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifOperating income gets better but stays below -$15 million.
Worry ifOperating income stays worse than -$15 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$277 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $673 loss on $10,000 · 6.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,224 loss on $10,000 · 62.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: More buybacks show good money management. This can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifThere is news of more convertible debt repurchases beyond the $40.2 million already done.
Worry ifNo new news on convertible debt buybacks.
Why it matters: If sector growth slows, it could impact Impinj's performance. This is a broader market signal.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains at or above its median.
Why it matters: Strong bookings would help future revenue growth. They would also support management's positive view.
Supportive ifEndpoint IC bookings reported at or above the all-time record set in Q1.
Worry ifBookings fall below the previous all-time record.
Why it matters: Lower net income may show ongoing problems in making profits.
Worry ifQ3 net income reported below $2.2 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 net income meets or exceeds $2.2 million.
Why it matters: This level of adjusted EBITDA shows higher profits. It also shows better efficiency.
Supportive ifQ2 adjusted EBITDA was $29 million or more.
Worry ifQ2 adjusted EBITDA was less than $27.8 million.
Why it matters: Falling below this range would signal weakening demand and growth challenges.
Worry ifQ3 revenue guidance below $105.5 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue guidance meets or exceeds $108.5 million.
Why it matters: If it drops below this level, it shows a problem with making money.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was below $20.7 million for Q3.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA was above $22.2 million for Q3.
Why it matters: Going above this number shows strong performance and making money.
Supportive ifQ3 net income exceeds $3.7 million.
Worry ifQ3 net income falls below $2.2 million.
Why it matters: News about debt management can change financial choices. It can also impact investor trust.
Supportive ifThere may be news about buying back more convertible debt or changes.
Worry ifNo news or delays in planned debt management actions.