Impinj, Inc. (PI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$161.06-10.67%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 43.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 19.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 49 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PI — debt issuance
Dated 2026-09-10
Other Events. On September 10, 2026, Impinj, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into privately-negotiated exchange agreements with certain holders of the Company’s outstanding 1.125% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027 (the “2027 Notes”) in which the Company agreed to exchange approximately $56.5 million in cash and approximately 188,451 shares of common stock based on the Reference Price (as described below) for $56.3 million in aggregate principal amount of the outstanding 2027 Notes (the “2027 Not…
Why it matters: Management linked record endpoint IC sales and unit volume to M800 strength and Gen2X momentum. Continued records would back that growth story.
Supportive ifA later quarterly report sets new records for endpoint IC revenue and unit volume. It names M800 or Gen2X as a driver.
Worry ifA later report shows endpoint IC revenue or unit volume below the Q3 2026 record. Or it says M800 or Gen2X momentum has weakened.
Why it matters: The exchange uses cash and shares to cut debt. Its final terms will show how much debt and cash remain tied to the deal.
Watch forA company filing says the exchange closed. About $1 million of 2027 notes remain.
Also watch forA company filing says the exchange did not close, or that far more than $1 million of 2027 notes remain.
Why it matters: Q3 operating income was $4.6 million, while the first nine months of 2026 showed a small operating loss. Another loss would show that better results have not yet held.
Worry ifQ4 2026 GAAP operating income is below zero.
Less concerning ifQ4 2026 GAAP operating income is above zero.
Why it matters: The company set a $104 million to $107 million revenue range. A result below the range would break its recent growth trend.
Worry ifQ4 2026 revenue is below $104 million.
Less concerning ifQ4 2026 revenue is at least $104 million and stays within or above the guided range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$228 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $659 loss on $10,000 · 6.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,633 loss on $10,000 · 56.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.