P3 Health Partners Inc (PIII)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$4.22+9.90%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PIII
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
PIII — capital allocation — Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
Dated 2026-09-11
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
Why it matters: P3 disclosed a Nasdaq notice for failing to meet listing rules. A compliance update will show whether this issue is resolved.
Worry ifP3 reports that Nasdaq has accepted its compliance plan or restored compliance.
Less concerning ifP3 reports a missed compliance deadline, a denied plan, or a Nasdaq delisting notice.
Why it matters: P3 reduced its provider network and payer ties, and at-risk membership fell 10% year over year. Further losses could weigh on revenue and margins.
Worry ifAt-risk membership falls below the 2026 guidance floor of 102,000.
Less concerning ifAt-risk membership stays within or above the 102,000–106,000 range.
Why it matters: P3 raised 2026 revenue guidance to $1.5B–$1.6B. Health Care growth is slowing, so Q3 results can show if P3 keeps growing.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue grows at least 9% year over year, matching the reported sector growth pace.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is below 9% year over year, or P3 cuts its $1.5B–$1.6B full-year range.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$346 on $10,000 · ±3.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,057 loss on $10,000 · 10.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,203 loss on $10,000 · 82.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.