Park Hotels & Resorts (PK)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
$15.26+1.19%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 18.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers
PK — earnings miss
Dated 2025-10-30
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 30, 2025, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025 and made available certain supplemental information concerning the portfolio and operation of the Company. Copies of the press release and the supplemental information are furnished as Exhibits 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, to this Current Report on Form 8-K. In accordanc…
Why it matters: Steady cash flow shows good financial health. A drop can raise profit concerns.
Supportive ifCash from operations stays above $140 million in Q3.
Worry ifCash from operations drops below $100 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company can maintain RevPAR growth and improve net income.
Watch forQ2 2026 earnings show Core RevPAR growth above 5% year over year.
Also watch forQ2 2026 earnings reveal Core RevPAR growth below 1% year over year.
Why it matters: Strong growth in July would confirm ongoing demand strength and support future performance.
Supportive ifJuly Comparable RevPAR growth was over 8.5% compared to last year.
Worry ifJuly Comparable RevPAR growth was below 8.5% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Finishing this renovation will improve the Hilton Hawaiian Village. It will help revenue growth.
Supportive ifThe Ali'i Tower renovation will finish by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifDelay in the Ali'i Tower renovation beyond Q3 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$119 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $282 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,705 loss on $10,000 · 17.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows trust in cash flow and financial strength.
Supportive ifThe company confirms it will maintain the dividend at $0.25 per share.
Worry ifThe company cuts the dividend below $0.25 per share.
Why it matters: Good sales make the portfolio better. They also provide more money options. Fewer sales can mean trouble.
Supportive ifTotal sales from Non-Core hotels exceed $65 million in Q3.
Worry ifNo new Non-Core hotel sales are announced in Q3.
Why it matters: Positive net income shows good cost management. It also means the company is doing well.
Supportive ifNet income remains above $10 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNet income falls below $5 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: The reopening could increase RevPAR and overall performance. This is important before major events.
Supportive ifRoyal Palm reopens on schedule and achieves RevPAR above $300 in the first month.
Worry ifRoyal Palm reopening is delayed past June 2026 or RevPAR remains below $300.
Why it matters: Strong RevPAR growth signals demand strength and effective management of hotel assets. It can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ3 Comparable RevPAR growth exceeds 8.5% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 Comparable RevPAR growth falls below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Core RevPAR growth shows how well Park's main hotels are performing. A strong increase signals good demand and effective management.
Supportive ifCore RevPAR growth is over 5% year-over-year. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifCore RevPAR growth is below 1% year-over-year. This shows weak demand.