Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$46.48+3.45%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PKOH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 11.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PKOH — earnings in line
Dated 2026-05-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026 , Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. issued a press release announcing its quarter ended March 31, 2026 results. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information contained in this Current Report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Excha…
Why it matters: Lower growth may mean less demand in key markets. This can affect future guidance.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth was less than 5% compared to last year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth was more than 5% compared to last year.
Why it matters: An EPS below this level may show profit problems. This can hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS was below $3.10 per diluted share.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EPS was above $3.10 per diluted share.
Why it matters: The result may affect revenue and profits. This can change overall company performance.
Watch forThere was news of a successful deal or plan for the SSP business.
Also watch forThere was no progress or bad news about the SSP business review.
Why it matters: If cash generation is low, it causes problems for operations.
Worry ifIf free cash flow is below $20 million, it signals cash generation issues.
Less concerning ifFree cash flow reported at $20 million or higher would support management's target.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$181 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $369 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,770 loss on $10,000 · 17.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This would indicate progress toward the full-year adjusted EPS target of $2.90 to $3.20.
Supportive ifQ2 adjusted EPS reported at $0.73 or higher.
Worry ifQ2 adjusted EPS reported below $0.73.
Why it matters: Lower cash flow may slow growth plans. This can affect financial stability.
Worry ifOperating cash flow reported below $20 million for the full year.
Less concerning ifOperating cash flow reported above $20 million for the full year.