Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Playtika Holding Corp. (PLTK)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.31+8.96%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.67 → 0.65 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 5 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 5 to 5; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for PLTK yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Adjusted EBITDA of $750-$790 million in 2026 | Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also raised to $750-$790 million. | Intact | Adjusted EBITDA falls below $715 million in 2026 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
PLTK is a growth-oriented business with a fragile earnings profile, elevated risk, and a difficult sector backdrop. The long-term thesis is in a watch state: management is making progress on its 2026 goals, but recent performance remains below its industry cohort.
The valuation evidence points to PLTK being cheap versus peers, while the model also shows a modest premium and a negative expectations gap. Those mixed signals have low confidence; the snapshot labels what is priced in as justified and says fragility is low, rather than showing that the full set of business risks is reflected.
Near term, management’s 2026 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance has been raised, and the latest reported quarters show progress on revenue and profitability. Lower marketing expense helped expand margins in 2026-Q2, though that priority is marked mixed, and the earnings-quality assessment remains fragile.
A guidance cut would be a meaningful negative, while continued delivery against reaffirmed guidance would support the multi-year thesis. Lower interest rates and strong results from sector peers could provide a tailwind, but the snapshot does not establish whether those conditions will occur.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, PLTK’s case rests on turning management’s growth and margin goals into durable execution despite elevated risk and sector headwinds. The evidence is mixed, and the thesis remains under watch. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| The company is restructuring costs with a 15% workforce reduction. |
| Intact |
| Workforce reduction fails to reduce costs or harms revenue growth |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Full-year 2026 revenue of $2.75-$2.85 billion | A primary condition in Playtika Holding Corp.'s published investment case. The stated target is $2.75-$2.85 billion. | Intact | Full-year 2026 revenue falls below $2.7 billion | Revenue: $731.1M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: $2.75-$2.85 billion. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 6, 2026731,100,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.96 → $0.65 · observed estimates
$2.86B → $2.78B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.96 | $2,861,574,180 | 3 / 12 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.96 | $2,861,574,180 | 3 / 12 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.96 | $2,861,574,180 | 3 / 12 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.70 | $2,861,573,554 | 6 / 9 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.96 | $2,861,574,180 | 3 / 12 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.96 | $2,861,574,180 | 3 / 12 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 6 / 8 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 6 / 8 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 6 / 8 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.90 | $2,845,622,170 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.90 | $2,845,622,170 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.90 | $2,817,548,170 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.90 | $2,817,548,170 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.69 | $2,845,621,491 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.70 | $2,793,005,655 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.68 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.67 | $2,788,432,928 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.66 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.65 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.65 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.65 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.65 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.65 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.65 | $2,780,433,482 | 5 / 8 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 2 Buy / Strong Buy · 9 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 2 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.