Playtika Holding Corp. (PLTK)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.12+5.47%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PLTK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -73.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 72.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers
PLTK — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-19
Other Events. Playtika Holding Corp. (the “Company”) has previously disclosed that China’s National Development and Reform Commission (the “NDRC”) released in 2023 Administrative Measures for the Review and Registration of Medium and Long-Term Foreign Debt of Enterprises (the “Foreign Debt Rules”) which require Chinese enterprises to notify and receive certain approvals from the NDRC before their controlled overseas branches can issue or materially amend the terms of certain indebtedness that…
Why it matters: Bingo Blitz revenue fell 9.5% year over year in Q2. Another drop would extend the decline in a major game.
Worry ifQ3 Bingo Blitz revenue is below $145.1 million, its Q2 level.
Less concerning ifQ3 Bingo Blitz revenue is at least $145.1 million.
Why it matters: Management expects results near the lower ends of its ranges. Lower results would show pressure from cautious spending and less marketing.
Worry if2026 revenue is less than $2.75 billion or Adjusted EBITDA is less than $750 million.
Less concerning if2026 revenue is at least $2.75 billion and Adjusted EBITDA is at least $750 million.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue was $731.1 million, down 1.8% from Q1. A further drop would add to the recent slowdown.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $731.1 million, the Q2 2026 level.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue is at least $731.1 million.
Why it matters: Disney Solitaire grew 288.6% year over year in Q2 and was Playtika's top listed game by revenue. A drop would test that growth.
Worry ifQ3 Disney Solitaire revenue is below $142.4 million, its Q2 level.
Less concerning ifQ3 Disney Solitaire revenue is at least $142.4 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$181 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $651 loss on $10,000 · 6.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,378 loss on $10,000 · 53.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 Adjusted EBITDA rose to $206.1 million as marketing spending fell. A drop would test whether those gains last.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is below $206.1 million, the Q2 2026 level.
Less concerning ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is at least $206.1 million.