Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)
NYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-07-07
$108.62+1.60%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $108.62. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $109 PNW trades at 1.9× p/b, below its 2.3× p/b peer median, but our blended $100 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $92–$108. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $130 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
$92.00 – $108.00 (median $105.00) · 9 analysts · as of 2026-07-01
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $105.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $63.80 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $83.31 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $113.63 | 24.4 | 4.65 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $133.71 | 2.3 | 57.45 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $131.22 | 24.4 | 5.37 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $135.45 | 3.1 | 44.09 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $60.04 | 11.2 | 5.37 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $60.03 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $97.39 | 18.1 | 5.37 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $140.45 | 24.4 | 5.75 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $125.47 | 24.4 | 5.13 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $154.24 | 2.3 | 66.27 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $150.98 | 24.4 | 6.18 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $161.62 | 3.1 | 52.61 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $69.08 | 11.2 | 6.18 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $112.05 | 18.1 | 6.18 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $134.04 | 24.4 | 5.49 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $169.65 | 2.3 | 72.89 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $169.42 | 24.4 | 6.93 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $181.37 | 3.1 | 59.04 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $77.52 | 11.2 | 6.93 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $125.74 | 18.1 | 6.93 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.